Abstract

This paper analyzes the types of flight accident events, their causes and statistics on accidents at different stages of flight. By studying the subjective pilot rating, the law of its probability distribution was established as well as the possibility of using this law to assess the risk of accidents. The methodology for assessing the risk of an accident during manual control in nonstationary conditions associated with a sharp change in the controlled element dynamics is considered.

中文翻译：

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评估飞机试飞过程中由于飞行员错误造成人为因素的风险的方法

摘要

本文分析了飞行事故事件的类型，其原因以及不同飞行阶段事故的统计数据。通过研究主观驾驶员评级，建立了其概率分布定律，以及使用该定律评估事故风险的可能性。考虑了一种方法，该方法用于评估在非平稳状态下与受控元件动力学的急剧变化相关的手动控制过程中发生事故的风险。