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Modeling Uncertainty in the Wings Method Using Interval Arithmetic
International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making ( IF 4.9 ) Pub Date : 2019-12-10 , DOI: 10.1142/s0219622019500494
Jerzy Michnik 1 , Artur Grabowski 2
Affiliation  

This paper introduces a novel approach to support decision-making by combining the Weighted Influence Nonlinear Gauge System (WINGS) method with interval arithmetic. This approach allows to include uncertain judgments and/or different opinions in a decision process. Our research aims at increasing the ability of WINGS to model decisions in situations of uncertainty and at extending the reach of its practical applications. The new, relatively simple and transparent method can become a useful and practical tool for the decision makers. Mathematical correctness of the proposed methodology is proven.Based on the new method, a procedure for solving a complex decision problem is created. Its applicability is illustrated by two case studies. Choosing the best option for the organization’s competitive position in a health-care organization shows how the proposed method works with uncertain judgments. Its usefulness for group decision-making is illustrated by applying it to a decision concerning allocation of public funds for sport development in a small commune.

中文翻译:

使用区间算术对 Wings 方法中的不确定性建模

本文介绍了一种将加权影响非线性计量系统 (WINGS) 方法与区间算术相结合的新方法来支持决策制定。这种方法允许在决策过程中包含不确定的判断和/或不同的意见。我们的研究旨在提高 WINGS 在不确定情况下模拟决策的能力,并扩大其实际应用的范围。这种新的、相对简单和透明的方法可以成为决策者有用和实用的工具。证明了所提出方法的数学正确性。基于新方法,创建了解决复杂决策问题的程序。两个案例研究说明了它的适用性。为组织在医疗保健组织中的竞争地位选择最佳选项表明了所提出的方法如何在不确定的判断下工作。通过将其应用于有关为小社区的体育发展分配公共资金的决策,可以说明其对群体决策的有用性。
更新日期:2019-12-10
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