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Interdependent Critical Infrastructure Model (ICIM): An agent-based model of power and water infrastructure
International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2018-12-23 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2018.12.002
James R. Thompson , Damon Frezza , Burhan Necioglu , Michael L. Cohen , Kenneth Hoffman , Kristine Rosfjord

The comfort, mobility, and economic well-being of a population depends on reliable and affordable electric power services, which in turn requires a sustainable water supply. It is therefore increasingly important to analyze the sustainability and resilience of mid- and long-term electric utility and water system capacity expansion plans. Due to the inherent interdependency between power and water critical infrastructure, these expansion plans should be analyzed with respect to potential challenges posed by climate change and other risks. Decision-makers therefore require tools that facilitate an integrated analysis that captures the interdependency of power and water to better inform future expansion plans. Here we develop an agent-based model of a typical regional power system that incorporates the features of specific plant types and their cooling systems that are dependent on adequate water supplies at appropriate temperatures to support full power operation. The effects of capacity expansion plans, power demand growth, climate change, and extreme events are analyzed through different scenarios designed to illustrate the utility of such a model and show where it can aid in mid- and long-term planning.



中文翻译:

相互依存的关键基础设施模型(ICIM):基于代理的电力和水基础设施模型

人口的舒适性,机动性和经济福祉取决于可靠且负担得起的电力服务,而这又需要可持续的供水。因此,分析中长期电力公用事业和水系统容量扩展计划的可持续性和复原力变得越来越重要。由于电力和水关键基础设施之间固有的相互依存关系,因此应对这些扩展计划进行分析,以应对气候变化和其他风险带来的潜在挑战。因此,决策者需要能够促进集成分析的工具,以获取电力和水的相互依赖关系,从而更好地为未来的扩展计划提供依据。在这里,我们开发了一个典型的区域电力系统的基于代理的模型,该模型结合了特定工厂类型及其冷却系统的功能,这些功能取决于在适当温度下充足的供水以支持全功率运行。通过不同的场景分析了容量扩展计划,电力需求增长,气候变化和极端事件的影响,这些场景旨在说明该模型的实用性,并显示该模型可在中长期计划中提供帮助。

更新日期:2018-12-23
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