The characteristics of hydroclimatic risk in the 21st Century are rapidly changing. Increases in extreme weather events and population densities alter exposure to floods and droughts. Water infrastructure is unable to keep pace and deterministic models can mislead. Yet, predominant strategies for managing risk continue to follow historical precedent, striving to tame nature's outbursts and mitigate disasters through conventional engineering structures. In this Viewpoint article, scholars from three disciplines address underlying limitations in contemporary risk management, each of which is rooted in the concept of hubris. They argue that effective risk management must extend beyond hubris-thinking to an approach based on humility. Extending from the three types of limitations—described as Disconnect from Nature, Engineers of a Fixed Nature. and Modelers of Nature— a collective and synthetic consideration provides insights into potential pathways forward for both science and practice. More satisfactory strategies for managing hydroclimatic risk will require a shift from a hubris-based paradigm to a more humility-based approach.

21世纪的水文气候风险特征正在迅速变化。极端天气事件和人口密度的增加改变了遭受洪水和干旱的风险。水基础设施无法跟上步伐，确定性模型可能会误导人们。然而，管理风险的主要策略仍沿袭历史先例，努力通过传统的工程结构来驯服自然的爆发并减轻灾害。在这篇观点文章中，来自三个学科的学者探讨了当代风险管理中的潜在限制，每个限制都植根于自大的概念。他们认为，有效的风险管理必须超越狂妄自大的思维范围，而应扩展到基于谦逊的方法。扩展了三种限制，即与自然断开联系，固定自然的工程师。和自然建模者-集体和综合考虑为深入了解科学和实践的潜在途径提供了见识。管理水文气候风险的更令人满意的策略将要求从以傲慢为基础的范式转变为以谦卑为基础的方法。