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Non-monotone waves of a stage-structured SLIRM epidemic model with latent period
Proceedings of the Royal Society of Edinburgh Section A: Mathematics ( IF 1.3 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-15 , DOI: 10.1017/prm.2020.65
Wenzhang Huang , Chufen Wu

We propose and investigate a stage-structured SLIRM epidemic model with latent period in a spatially continuous habitat. We first show the existence of semi-travelling waves that connect the unstable disease-free equilibrium as the wave coordinate goes to − ∞, provided that the basic reproduction number $\mathcal {R}_0 > 1$ and $c > c_*$ for some positive number $c_*$. We then use a combination of asymptotic estimates, Laplace transform and Cauchy's integral theorem to show the persistence of semi-travelling waves. Based on the persistent property, we construct a Lyapunov functional to prove the convergence of the semi-travelling wave to an endemic (positive) equilibrium as the wave coordinate goes to + ∞. In addition, by the Laplace transform technique, the non-existence of bounded semi-travelling wave is also proved when $\mathcal {R}_0 > 1$ and $0 < c < c_*$. This indicates that $c_*$ is indeed the minimum wave speed. Finally simulations are given to illustrate the evolution of profiles.

中文翻译:

具有潜伏期的阶段结构 SLIRM 流行病模型的非单调波

我们提出并研究了在空间连续生境中具有潜伏期的阶段结构 SLIRM 流行病模型。我们首先展示了当波坐标变为−∞时连接不稳定无病平衡的半行波的存在,前提是基本再生数$\mathcal {R}_0 > 1$$c > c_*$对于一些正数$c_*$. 然后我们使用渐近估计、拉普拉斯变换和柯西积分定理的组合来显示半行波的持续性。基于持久性,我们构造了一个 Lyapunov 泛函,以证明当波坐标变为 + ∞ 时,半行波收敛到特有(正)平衡。此外,通过拉普拉斯变换技术,也证明了有界半行波的不存在$\mathcal {R}_0 > 1$$0 < c < c_*$. 这表明$c_*$确实是最小波速。最后给出了模拟来说明轮廓的演变。
更新日期:2020-09-15
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