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Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways: Future narratives for assessment of water-related ecosystem services in agricultural and forest management.
Ambio ( IF 6.5 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-13 , DOI: 10.1007/s13280-020-01389-7
Jelena Rakovic 1 , Martyn N Futter 2 , Katarina Kyllmar 1 , Katri Rankinen 3 , Marc I Stutter 4 , Jan Vermaat 5 , Dennis Collentine 1
Affiliation  

Further development of the bioeconomy, the substitution of bioresources for fossil resources, will lead to an increased pressure on land and water resources in both agriculture and forestry. It is important to study whether resultant changes in land management may in turn lead to impairment of water services. This paper describes the Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways (NBPs), a set of regional sectoral storylines nested within the global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) framework developed to provide the BIOWATER research program with land management scenarios for projecting future developments to explore possible conflicts between land management changes and the Water Framework Directive (WFD). The NBPs are a set of narrative storylines capturing a range of plausible future trajectories for the Nordic bioeconomy until 2050 and that are fit for use within hydrological catchment modelling, ecosystem service studies and stakeholder dialogue about possible changes in agricultural and forestry management practices.



中文翻译:

北欧生物经济途径:用于评估农业和森林管理中与水有关的生态系统服务的未来叙述。

生物经济的进一步发展,即用生物资源替代化石资源,将导致农业和林业对土地和水资源的压力增加。重要的是要研究土地管理的结果变化是否可能反过来导致供水服务受损。本文介绍了北欧生物经济途径(NBP),这是嵌套在全球共享社会经济途径(SSP)框架内的一组区域部门故事情节,旨在为BIOWATER研究计划提供土地管理方案,以预测未来的发展,以探索土地管理之间可能存在的冲突。变化和《水框架指令》(WFD)。

更新日期:2020-09-13
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