Ecosystem services delivery is influenced by food systems and vice versa. As the application of digital technologies in agriculture continues to expand, digital technologies might affect the delivery of ecosystem services in view of the sorts of food systems in which they are embedded. The direction food systems develop towards the future, and the role digital technologies play in this development, is influenced by imaginings, hopes and visions about what these technologies mean for future food systems. In this article, we investigate what roles are being imagined for these technologies by international actors with the ability to influence the future of food systems. We analyze outward-facing policy documents as well as conference proceedings on digital agriculture produced by the World Bank, the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Using qualitative textual analysis, we show that these organisations envision future food systems that prioritize maximizing food output through technology. We illustrate how this vision reflects a long-standing narrative about the role of technology in food systems innovation, which makes the controversial assumption that increases in food production lead to improvements in food security. Based on this finding, we suggest that evaluations of how digital agricultural technologies might affect the delivery of ecosystem services must begin by considering what visions of future food systems are take into account in science, technology development and policy making. Supporting similar research on high-level narratives surrounding agroecology and climate smart agriculture, we find that the dominant narrative in our dataset supports the status quo global, industrial agriculture and food system. This system continues to be criticized by many scholars for its environmental impacts. Based on our findings, we suggest that ecosystems service researchers could contribute substantially to the evaluation of environmental impacts of digital agriculture by analyzing the impact digital agriculture may have on the trade-offs between provisioning, regulatory, and cultural ecosystem services for several different food system futures. Such analyses can feed into processes of responsible innovation.

生态系统服务的提供受粮食系统的影响，反之亦然。随着数字技术在农业中的应用不断扩展，鉴于数字技术嵌入其中的各种食物系统，它们可能会影响生态系统服务的提供。食品系统向未来发展的方向以及数字技术在此发展中所扮演的角色受到对这些技术对未来食品系统意义的想象，希望和愿景的影响。在本文中，我们调查了国际参与者在影响食品系统未来的能力方面对这些技术的设想。我们分析了世界银行，联合国粮食及农业组织（FAO）制定的面向外部的政策文件以及有关数字农业的会议记录，经济合作与发展组织（OECD）。使用定性的文本分析，我们表明这些组织构想了未来的食品系统，这些系统优先考虑通过技术最大化食品产量。我们说明了这一愿景如何反映了关于技术在食品系统创新中作用的长期叙述，这使人们有争议的假设是，粮食产量的增加导致粮食安全的改善。基于这一发现，我们建议，对数字农业技术如何影响生态系统服务交付的评估必须首先考虑到科学，技术开发和政策制定中对未来粮食系统的看法。支持围绕农业生态学和气候智能农业的高级叙述的类似研究，  全球，工业农业和粮食系统的现状。许多学者继续批评该系统对环境的影响。根据我们的发现，我们建议生态系统服务研究人员可以通过分析数字农业对几种不同食品系统的供应，监管和文化生态系统服务之间的权衡取舍，对评估数字农业的环境影响做出重大贡献。期货。这样的分析可以进入负责任的创新过程。