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Will climate mitigation ambitions lead to carbon neutrality? An analysis of the local-level plans of 327 cities in the EU
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews ( IF 15.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-23 , DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110253
Monica Salvia , Diana Reckien , Filomena Pietrapertosa , Peter Eckersley , Niki-Artemis Spyridaki , Anna Krook-Riekkola , Marta Olazabal , Sonia De Gregorio Hurtado , Sofia G. Simoes , Davide Geneletti , Vincent Viguié , Paris A. Fokaides , Byron I. Ioannou , Alexandros Flamos , Maria Szalmane Csete , Attila Buzasi , Hans Orru , Cheryl de Boer , Aoife Foley , Klavdija Rižnar , Marko Matosović , Mario V. Balzan , Magdalena Smigaj , Viera Baštáková , Eva Streberova , Nataša Belšak Šel , Lana Coste , Léa Tardieu , Corinna Altenburg , Eliska Krkoška Lorencová , Kati Orru , Anja Wejs , Efren Feliu , Jon Marco Church , Stelios Grafakos , Sergiu Vasilie , Ivan Paspaldzhiev , Oliver Heidrich

Cities across the globe recognise their role in climate mitigation and are acting to reduce carbon emissions. Knowing whether cities set ambitious climate and energy targets is critical for determining their contribution towards the global 1.5 °C target, partly because it helps to identify areas where further action is necessary. This paper presents a comparative analysis of the mitigation targets of 327 European cities, as declared in their local climate plans. The sample encompasses over 25% of the EU population and includes cities of all sizes across all Member States, plus the UK. The study analyses whether the type of plan, city size, membership of climate networks, and its regional location are associated with different levels of mitigation ambition. Results reveal that 78% of the cities have a GHG emissions reduction target. However, with an average target of 47%, European cities are not on track to reach the Paris Agreement: they need to roughly double their ambitions and efforts. Some cities are ambitious, e.g. 25% of our sample (81) aim to reach carbon neutrality, with the earliest target date being 2020.90% of these cities are members of the Climate Alliance and 75% of the Covenant of Mayors. City size is the strongest predictor for carbon neutrality, whilst climate network(s) membership, combining adaptation and mitigation into a single strategy, and local motivation also play a role. The methods, data, results and analysis of this study can serve as a reference and baseline for tracking climate mitigation ambitions across European and global cities.



中文翻译:

缓解气候变化的野心会导致碳中和吗?欧盟327个城市的地方级计划分析

世界各地的城市都意识到其在缓解气候变化中的作用,并正在采取行动减少碳排放。了解城市是否设定雄心勃勃的气候和能源目标对于确定其对全球1.5°C目标的贡献至关重要,部分原因是它有助于确定需要采取进一步行动的领域。本文对在其当地气候计划中宣布的327个欧洲城市的减排目标进行了比较分析。该样本涵盖了欧盟25%以上的人口,包括所有成员国以及英国的各种规模的城市。这项研究分析了计划的类型,城市规模,气候网络的成员资格及其区域位置是否与不同程度的缓解野心有关。结果表明,有78%的城市都有温室气体减排目标。然而,欧洲城市的平均目标是47%,因此无法达成《巴黎协定》:他们需要将雄心壮志和努力大致提高一倍。一些城市雄心勃勃,例如我们样本中有25%(81)的目标是实现碳中和,最早的目标日期是2020年。这些城市中有90%是气候联盟的成员,而市长盟约的则是75%。城市规模是碳中和的最强预测指标,而气候网络的成员身份(将适应性和减缓性结合成一个战略)以及地方动机也起着作用。这项研究的方法,数据,结果和分析可作为跟踪欧洲和全球城市缓解气候变化雄心的参考和基线。他们需要将雄心和努力加倍。一些城市雄心勃勃,例如我们样本中有25%(81)的目标是实现碳中和,最早的目标日期是2020年。这些城市中有90%是气候联盟的成员,而市长盟约的则是75%。城市规模是碳中和的最强预测指标,而气候网络的成员身份(将适应性和减缓性结合成一个战略)和地方动机也起着作用。这项研究的方法,数据,结果和分析可作为跟踪欧洲和全球城市缓解气候变化雄心的参考和基线。他们需要将雄心和努力加倍。一些城市雄心勃勃,例如我们样本中有25%(81)的目标是实现碳中和,最早的目标日期是2020年。这些城市中有90%是气候联盟的成员,而市长盟约的则是75%。城市规模是碳中和的最强预测指标,而气候网络的成员身份(将适应和减缓相结合的单一策略)以及地方动机也发挥了作用。这项研究的方法,数据,结果和分析可以作为跟踪欧洲和全球城市缓解气候变化雄心的参考和基线。这些城市中有90%是气候联盟的成员,也是市长盟约的75%。城市规模是碳中和的最强预测指标,而气候网络的成员身份(将适应性和减缓性结合成一个战略)以及地方动机也起着作用。这项研究的方法,数据,结果和分析可以作为追踪欧洲和全球城市缓解气候变化雄心的参考和基线。这些城市中有90%是气候联盟的成员,也是市长盟约的75%。城市规模是碳中和的最强预测指标,而气候网络的成员身份(将适应和减缓相结合的单一策略)以及地方动机也发挥了作用。这项研究的方法,数据,结果和分析可以作为追踪欧洲和全球城市缓解气候变化雄心的参考和基线。

更新日期:2020-08-23
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