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Information gaps for risk and ambiguity.
Psychological Review ( IF 5.4 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-06 , DOI: 10.1037/rev0000252
Russell Golman 1 , Nikolos Gurney 1 , George Loewenstein 1
Affiliation  

We apply a model of preferences about the presence and absence of information to the domain of decision making under risk and ambiguity. An uncertain prospect exposes an individual to 1 or more information gaps, specific unanswered questions that capture attention. Gambling makes these questions more important, attracting more attention to them. To the extent that the uncertainty (or other circumstances) makes these information gaps unpleasant to think about, an individual tends to be averse to risk and ambiguity. Yet in circumstances in which thinking about an information gap is pleasant, an individual may exhibit risk- and ambiguity-seeking. The model provides explanations for source preference regarding uncertainty, the comparative ignorance effect under conditions of ambiguity, aversion to compound risk, and a variety of other phenomena. We present 2 empirical tests of one of the model's novel predictions, which is that people will wager more about events that they enjoy (rather than dislike) thinking about. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2020 APA, all rights reserved).

中文翻译:

风险和歧义的信息差距。

我们将关于信息存在和缺失的偏好模型应用于风险和模糊性下的决策领域。不确定的前景使个人面临 1 个或多个信息空白,即吸引注意力的特定未回答问题。赌博使这些问题变得更加重要,吸引了更多的注意力。就不确定性(或其他情况)使这些信息差距令人不快地思考而言,个人倾向于厌恶风险和模棱两可。然而,在考虑信息鸿沟是愉快的情况下,个人可能会表现出寻求风险和模糊性。该模型解释了关于不确定性的来源偏好、模糊条件下的比较无知效应、对复合风险的厌恶以及各种其他现象。我们对模型的一项新颖预测提出了 2 个实证检验,即人们会更多地投注于他们喜欢(而不是不喜欢)思考的事件。(PsycInfo 数据库记录 (c) 2020 APA,保留所有权利)。
更新日期:2020-08-06
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