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Structural Decomposition Analysis to Investigate the Changes in Energy Consumption in Pakistan
Journal of Systems Science and Complexity ( IF 2.1 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-04 , DOI: 10.1007/s11424-020-8148-6
Yousaf Ali , Sania Binte Saleem , Muhammad Sabir

The world energy demand is increasing due to rapid growth in the global economy, industrialization, and urbanization. Pakistan is also confronted with increasing energy demand on one hand and is confronted with the challenge of energy demand-supply gap on the other hand. Since energy is the major driver for growth, it becomes important to investigate the trends of energy consumption in a country and the factors that are most affecting the changes in the use of energy. This particular study aims to investigate the use of energy by all the economic sectors of Pakistan during 2000–2012. The major contribution is the first time application of structural decomposition analysis (SDA) for energy usage along with using Input-Output data for the period of 2002–2012. The results show the fluctuation of the energy intensity of the sectors throughout the study period. Also, the overall effect of energy intensity is negative on energy consumption and it shows a negative contribution value of −80.90% for the study period. Furthermore, the focus on more energy-intensive products like cement, automobiles, iron, steel products and the increasing final demand of the economy contributes to the growth of energy consumption in Pakistan during 2000–2012.



中文翻译:

结构分解分析,以调查巴基斯坦的能源消耗变化

由于全球经济,工业化和城市化的快速增长,世界能源需求正在增加。巴基斯坦一方面也面临着不断增长的能源需求,另一方面也面临着能源供需缺口的挑战。由于能源是增长的主要动力,因此调查一个国家的能源消耗趋势以及最影响能源使用变化的因素变得至关重要。这项特殊的研究旨在调查2000-2012年期间巴基斯坦所有经济部门的能源使用情况。主要贡献是首次将结构分解分析(SDA)应用于能源使用,同时使用2002-2012年期间的投入产出数据。结果显示了整个研究期间各部门的能源强度的波动。同样,能量强度的总体影响对能量消耗是消极的,并且在研究期间显示出−80.90%的消极贡献值。此外,对能源密集型产品(如水泥,汽车,铁,钢铁产品)的关注以及对经济的最终需求不断增长,促使巴基斯坦在2000-2012年期间的能源消耗量增加。

更新日期:2020-08-04
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