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Assessing drivers of energy consumption and progress toward energy targets in Italy
Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-17 , DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2020.1778817
Gianluca Trotta 1, 2
Affiliation  

The objectives of this study are to provide new insights on (i) the drivers of changes in final energy consumption in Italy over the period from 1995 to 2015 by employing a multi-sectoral decomposition analysis approach – Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index I (LMDI-I); and (ii) the progress of Italy toward the indicative energy efficiency and mandatory energy-saving targets set for 2020. The decomposition results show that from 1995 to 2015, an increase in final energy consumption caused by activity effects has been almost totally offset by structural changes. Energy intensity improvements occurred during the period from 2006 to 2015 when most of the energy efficiency policies in Italy were implemented. However, unlike the ex ante estimates of energy savings reported by the Italian government, the LMDI-I analysis shows that Italy is not on track to achieve the 2020 energy efficiency and energy-saving targets. Challenges and opportunities in policymaking are discussed.



中文翻译:

评估意大利的能源消耗驱动因素和实现能源目标的进展

这项研究的目的是通过多部门分解分析方法-对数均值指数I(LMDI-I),提供有关(i)1995年至2015年期间意大利最终能源消耗变化的驱动因素的新见解。 ); (ii)意大利在实现2020年指示性能源效率和强制性节能目标方面的进展。分解结果显示,从1995年到2015年,由活动效应导致的最终能源消耗增加几乎完全被结构性碳抵消。变化。2006年至2015年期间,意大利实施了大多数能源效率政策,从而提高了能源强度。但是,与事前LMDI-I分析显示,意大利政府对节能量进行了估算,表明意大利没有实现2020年能源效率和节能目标的轨道。讨论了决策中的挑战和机遇。

更新日期:2020-07-24
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