ABSTRACT

This article analyzes the possibility of substantially reducing greenhouse gases (GHG) in the Mexican industrial sector by applying a Low-carbon (LC) scenario, through a period of 25 years, composed by a set of mitigation options that involve the use of energy efficiency, materials recycling, cogeneration and renewable energy. Results reveal that a GHG peak of 226 million tons of equivalent CO₂ could be reached by 2030 with a GHG reduction of 26.5%, compared to a Base scenario, demonstrating that the LC scenario could exceed Mexico’s Nationally Determined Contributions objective of reducing 19% of its industrial sector GHG by 2030. Additionally, GHG reduction of 47% could be achieved by 2035. Finally, the economic viability of the LC scenario was evaluated using a cost-benefit approach. As a result, economic benefits above $24,000 million dollars could be achieved due the energy savings generated are greater than costs to implement the mitigation options.

摘要

本文分析了通过应用低碳（LC）方案，在25年内，通过一系列涉及能源效率的减排方案组成的方案，大幅降低墨西哥工业部门的温室气体（GHG）的可能性。 ，材料回收，热电联产和可再生能源。结果显示，温室气体峰值为2.26亿吨当量CO _2。与基本情景相比，到2030年可以实现温室气体减少26.5％，这表明最低消费情景可能超过墨西哥的国家自主贡献目标，即到2030年将其工业部门的温室气体减少19％。此外，温室气体减少47％可以在2035年之前实现。最后，使用成本效益方法评估了LC方案的经济可行性。结果，由于产生的能源节省大于实施缓解方案的成本，因此可以实现超过240亿美元的经济效益。