当前位置: X-MOL 学术Nat. Hazards › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Flood risk perception and its determinants among rural households in two communities in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan
Natural Hazards ( IF 3.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-17 , DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04166-7
Farman Ullah , Shahab E. Saqib , Mokbul Morshed Ahmad , Mahmoud Ali Fadlallah

Risk perception plays a vital part in flood risk management and mitigation strategies. Therefore, this study aims at first to measure the risk perception of the vulnerable households in the rural areas of Pakistan and, second, to assess the determinants and to estimate their impacts on risk perception among different groups of households. Data were collected through questionnaire survey from 382 respondents in two districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan. Risk perception was measured through a Likert scale for a set of indicators, and the composite index was calculated. Moreover, univariate and multivariate logistic models were applied to explore the relationship between dependent and independent variables. Results of risk perception show that 50.52% of the respondents perceived a high risk of floods in the study area. Results of regression models show that the age group 40–50 years was less likely to perceive a high risk of floods. Respondents with flood experience, education (higher secondary and above), household location (near the bank of streams) and household distance from the river (≤ 500) were more likely to perceive high floods risk. Furthermore, respondents in the riverine flood-prone areas perceived high flood risk than respondents in the flash flood-prone regions. The study contributes in terms of useful information about the risk perception of floods and the determinants of flood risk perception in rural areas. These findings can help the provincial disaster management authorities and local disaster management units in understanding flood risk and implementing relevant interventions at the local level that can be used in adaptation to floods and other climate-induced disasters.



中文翻译:

巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省两个社区的农户对洪水风险的感知及其影响因素

风险感知在洪水风险管理和缓解策略中起着至关重要的作用。因此,本研究的目的首先是衡量巴基斯坦农村地区弱势家庭的风险感知,其次是评估决定因素并评估其对不同家庭群体之间风险感知的影响。通过问卷调查从巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省两个地区的382名受访者收集了数据。通过李克特量表对一组指标测量风险感知,然后计算综合指数。此外,单变量和多变量逻辑模型被用于探索因变量和自变量之间的关系。风险感知的结果表明,有50.52%的受访者认为研究区域发生洪水的风险很高。回归模型的结果表明,年龄在40至50岁之间的人群不太可能遭受洪水的高风险。具有洪水经验,受过教育(高中及以上),家庭住所(溪边附近)和家庭与河流的距离(≤500)的受访者更有可能遭受高水灾风险。此外,与易发洪灾地区相比,在易发洪水地区的受访者认为洪水风险更高。该研究在有关洪水风险感知以及农村地区洪水风险感知决定因素的有用信息方面做出了贡献。

更新日期:2020-07-17
down
wechat
bug