At present, the demand for on-demand meal delivery is increasing, and the main delivery pattern is rider delivery. However, rider delivery has certain problems in terms of timeliness and security. Due to its advantages of being fast, convenient, and safe, drone delivery can, to a certain extent, solve the problems of rider delivery. However, can drone delivery completely replace rider delivery? The paper mainly uses the prospect theory to discuss the conditions under which drone delivery is superior to rider delivery based on four factors: delivery distance, degree of rider delay, pickup time, and consumer attitudes towards drone delivery. Based on the research, it was found that when the delivery distance is more than 7 kilometres, the pickup time is within 2 minutes, or when consumers accept drone delivery, drone delivery is better than rider delivery. When the rider’s delay caused the delivery time to increase by more than 20%, the advantages of drone delivery began to stand out. Moreover, research has proven that drone delivery will help expand the scope of instant delivery, and the rational layout of drone airports and strengthening of consumer awareness and friendliness towards drone delivery will also help promote the development of drone delivery.

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基于前景理论的按需送餐无人机和乘员的比较分析

当前，对按需送餐的需求正在增加，主要的送餐方式是骑手送餐。然而，就及时性和安全性而言，骑车人交付具有某些问题。由于其快速，方便和安全的优势，无人机运输可以在一定程度上解决骑手运输的问题。但是，无人机交付可以完全取代骑士交付吗？本文主要使用前景理论基于以下四个因素来讨论无人机交付优于骑手交付的条件：交付距离，骑手延误程度，上车时间以及消费者对无人机交付的态度。根据研究发现，当送货距离超过7公里时，取货时间在2分钟以内，或者当消费者接受无人机送货时，无人机交付比骑手交付更好。当骑手的延误导致送货时间增加20％以上时，无人机送货的优势开始凸显。此外，研究证明，无人机交付将有助于扩大即时交付的范围，无人机机场的合理布局以及增强消费者对无人机交付的认识和友善度也将有助于促进无人机交付的发展。