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Estimating Arctic Temperature Impacts from Select European Residential Heating Appliances and Mitigation Strategies.
Earth's Future ( IF 8.852 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-26 , DOI: 10.1029/2020ef001493
Brannon Seay 1 , Anna M Adetona 1 , Marcus Sarofim 2 , Michael Kolian 2
Affiliation  

The use of residential heating devices is a key source of black carbon and other short‐lived climate forcer emissions in Arctic and other high‐latitude regions, with important impacts to the Arctic climate and human health. The types of combustion technologies and fuels used vary by region, which impacts the emission profiles of these pollutants and thus the magnitude of Arctic climate responses. Using emission inventory data from 14 European countries, we derive wood‐fueled residential heating emissions of black carbon, organic carbon, and sulfate from six appliance types in 2016. Using previously derived equilibrium Arctic temperature responses, we estimate Arctic temperature influences from each appliance type. Using the 2016 appliance emission data as a baseline, we compute the emission mass and Arctic temperature mitigation potential from hypothetical stove conversion scenarios. A total of 43.2 gigagrams (Gg) of black carbon, 175.7 Gg of organic carbon, and 10.3 Gg of sulfate were emitted in 2016 from the six appliance types in the 14 countries. The combined emissions increased Arctic surface temperatures by +2.8 millikelvin. If each country converted its appliance fleet to the technologically advanced pellet stoves and boilers, the combined black carbon, organic carbon, and sulfate emissions from heating appliances could be reduced by 94% and the Arctic temperature response reduced by 85%. The specific source and originating region of emissions are important factors in resolving the magnitude of their impacts. Improved country‐level accounting of specific appliances and their emission characteristics can lead to a better understanding of potential mitigation options.

中文翻译:

估算欧洲部分住宅取暖设备的北极温度影响和缓解策略。

在北极和其他高纬度地区,住宅供暖设备的使用是黑碳和其他短期气候强迫排放的主要来源,对北极的气候和人类健康具有重要影响。所使用的燃烧技术和燃料的类型因地区而异,这会影响这些污染物的排放曲线,从而影响北极气候响应的程度。使用来自14个欧洲国家的排放清单数据,我们得出了2016年来自六种电器类型的以木材为燃料的住宅取暖黑碳,有机碳和硫酸盐的排放量。使用先前得出的均衡北极温度响应,我们估计每种电器类型对北极温度的影响。以2016年的家电排放数据为基准,我们从假设的炉具转换方案中计算了排放质量和降低北极温度的潜力。在14个国家/地区,2016年共排放了43.2克黑碳,175.7克有机碳和10.3克硫酸盐。排放总量增加了北极表面温度+2.8毫ikelvin。如果每个国家都将其设备队转换为技术先进的颗粒炉和锅炉,则可将加热设备的黑碳,有机碳和硫酸盐排放总量降低94%,并将北极的温度响应降低85%。排放的特定来源和来源区域是解决其影响程度的重要因素。
更新日期:2020-08-03
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