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The regional economic impacts of offshore wind energy developments in Scotland
Renewable Energy ( IF 8.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.06.065
Kevin Connolly

Abstract The Scottish electricity network is currently in a transition towards becoming 100% renewable. Offshore wind, due to a large natural resource, is expected to be key in this transition. In addition to the anticipated environmental benefits, increasing the share of offshore wind is expected to bring economic benefits to the region. In this study two multi-sectoral modelling methodologies – Input-Output (IO) and Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) – are used to measure the potential economic impacts on Scotland arising from both the construction and operation of the planned increase offshore wind capacity between 2018 and 2025, with comparisons made between models and development stages. With the focus on the benefits to the Scottish economy it is important to focus only on expenditures within Scotland. Found using both IO and (forward-looking and myopic) CGE modelling techniques, is increasing offshore wind capacity raises both employment and Gross Value Added (GVA) with the magnitude and timing of this change critically depend on model type and closure. This is the first – to the author’s knowledge – of a Scottish specific modelling which helps policy makers understand those elements which could affect the possible economic success of current policy towards offshore wind.

中文翻译:

苏格兰海上风能开发对区域经济的影响

摘要 苏格兰电网目前正在向 100% 可再生能源过渡。由于自然资源丰富,海上风电预计将成为这一转变的关键。除了预期的环境效益外,增加海上风电的份额有望为该地区带来经济效益。在本研究中,两种多部门建模方法——投入产出 (IO) 和可计算一般均衡 (CGE)——用于衡量 2018 年间计划增加的海上风电装机容量的建设和运营对苏格兰的潜在经济影响和 2025 年,在模型和开发阶段之间进行了比较。由于关注对苏格兰经济的好处,因此只关注苏格兰内部的支出是很重要的。发现同时使用 IO 和(前瞻性和近视)CGE 建模技术,增加海上风电容量会提高就业和总增加值 (GVA),这种变化的幅度和时间在很大程度上取决于模型类型和闭合。据作者所知,这是第一个苏格兰特定模型,可帮助政策制定者了解可能影响当前海上风电政策在经济上取得成功的因素。
更新日期:2020-11-01
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