This paper explores the dynamic relationship between CO₂ emissions, urbanization, trade openness, and technology innovation based on the panel data of 13 Asian countries over the period of 1985–2019. The STIRPAT model is used as a framework for the analysis. For estimation purpose, panel cointegration and FMOLS techniques are utilized. The causality between the concerned variables is also examined by estimating a panel VECM model. The results of panel cointegration reveal the presence of long-run relationship among the variables. FMOLS estimations show that energy consumption increases CO₂ emissions while technology change, urbanization, and trade openness compact it. Panel causality analysis indicates bidirectional causality between urbanization and emissions, technology and emissions, trade and emissions, and trade and technology in the long run. Overall findings support the idea that urbanization, technology innovation, and trade openness can play important role to achieve environmental sustainability.

本文基于 1985-2019 年亚洲 13 个国家的面板数据，探讨了 CO ₂排放、城市化、贸易开放和技术创新之间的动态关系。STIRPAT 模型用作分析的框架。出于估计目的，使用了面板协整和 FMOLS 技术。还通过估计面板 VECM 模型来检查相关变量之间的因果关系。面板协整的结果揭示了变量之间存在长期关系。FMOLS 估计表明，能源消耗会增加 CO ₂技术变革、城市化和贸易开放压缩排放。面板因果关系分析表明，从长远来看，城市化与排放、技术与排放、贸易与排放、贸易与技术之间存在双向因果关系。总体研究结果支持这样一种观点，即城市化、技术创新和贸易开放可以在实现环境可持续性方面发挥重要作用。