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Analysis of time-to-event data using a flexible mixture model under a constraint of proportional hazards
Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics ( IF 1.1 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-26
Guanghan Frank Liu, Jason J. Z. Liao

Cox proportional hazards (PH) model evaluates the effects of interested covariates under PH assumption without specified the baseline hazard. In clinical trial applications, however, the explicitly estimated hazard or cumulative survival function for each treatment group helps to assess and interpret the meaning of treatment difference. In this paper, we propose to use a flexible mixture model under the PH constraint to fit the underline survival functions. Simulations are conducted to evaluate its performance and show that the proposed mixture PH model is very similar to the Cox PH model in terms of estimating the hazard ratio, bias, confidence interval coverage, type-I error and testing power. Application to several real clinical trial examples demonstrates that the results from this approach are almost identical to the results from Cox PH model. The explicitly estimated hazard function for each treatment group provides additional useful information and helps the interpretation of hazard comparisons.



中文翻译:

在比例风险约束下使用灵活的混合模型分析事件数据

Cox比例风险(PH)模型在没有指定基线风险的情况下,在PH假设下评估相关协变量的影响。但是,在临床试验应用中,每个治疗组的明确估计的危害或累积生存功能有助于评估和解释治疗差异的含义。在本文中,我们建议在PH约束下使用灵活的混合模型来拟合下划线生存函数。进行了仿真以评估其性能,并表明,在估计危险比,偏差,置信区间覆盖,I型误差和测试能力方面,所提出的混合PH模型与Cox PH模型非常相似。在几个实际临床试验实例中的应用表明,该方法的结果与Cox PH模型的结果几乎相同。

更新日期:2020-06-26
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