Spatial dynamic modelling for urban scenario planning: A case study of Nanjing, China,Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science

当前位置： X-MOL 学术 › Environ. Plan. B Urban Anal. City Sci. › 论文详情

Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)

Spatial dynamic modelling for urban scenario planning: A case study of Nanjing, China
Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science ( IF 3.511 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-25 , DOI: 10.1177/2399808320934818
Zipan Cai _{1,

1} , Bo Wang _{1,

2} , Cong Cong _{1,

3} , Vladimir Cvetkovic ₁

Affiliation

Although urban scenario planning is widely applied for exploring various directions of urban development, it often has high requirements on the medium of quantitative information analysis and transformation. Thus, this study establishes a method of combining scenario planning with a spatial dynamic planning support system to predict urban growth. Specifically, a scenario-based spatial dynamic modelling method is integrated with the information module of planning policy for better decision support. The integrated modelling method is applied for an actual urban land use planning case of Nanjing, an evolving city in China. The spatial forms of future urban land use are simulated under four different pre-set policy scenarios. The differences in simulated results under multi-criteria restrictions reveal the effectiveness and practical value of the integration approach. The findings of this study provide policymakers with a process-based approach to test and evaluate ‘what-if’ consequences and help stakeholders reach consensus.

更新日期：2020-06-25

点击分享查看原文

点击收藏

阅读更多本刊最新论文

全部期刊列表>>