Wildfire is a growing threat in the western US, driven by high fuel loads, a warming climate, and rising human activity in the wildland urban interface. Diverse stakeholders must collaborate to mitigate risk and adapt to changing conditions. Communication strategies in collaborative efforts may be most effective if they align with local perspectives on wildfire and climate change. We investigate drivers of residents’ subjective perceptions regarding both issues in eastern Oregon using 2018 survey data, and examine objective evidence regarding local fuel loads, climate, and wildfire to identify trends and contextualize residents’ perceptions. We find that sociopolitical identity strongly predicts climate change beliefs, and that identity and climate beliefs predict both perceptions of recent past climate and likely future trends. Political influences on climate perceptions are strongest among people whose friends mostly belong to the same party. In contrast, perceptions about fut...

中文翻译：

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找到共同点：就增加野火风险达成协议跨越政治界限

在高西部地区，由于高燃料负荷，气候变暖以及野外城市界面中人类活动的增加，野火正在成为日益严重的威胁。不同的利益相关者必须合作以减轻风险并适应不断变化的状况。如果协作策略中的沟通策略与当地有关野火和气候变化的观点保持一致，则可能是最有效的。我们使用2018年的调查数据调查了俄勒冈州东部居民对这两个问题的主观感知驱动力，并检查了有关当地燃料负荷，气候和野火的客观证据，以识别趋势并结合居民的感知。我们发现，社会政治认同强烈地预测了气候变化的信念，而认同和气候信念则预测了最近的过去气候以及可能的未来趋势。在其朋友大多属于同一党的人们中，对气候看法的政治影响最大。相反，对未来的看法...