Abstract Issues are discussed related to Russia’s political and economic objective to become one of the five major economies of the world. It is shown that the continuation of the existing trends in GDP should permit Russia to rise in the coming years from the sixth position to the fifth among the world nations in terms of GDP yet remain in this position only until the end of the 2020s. The authors believe that in the forecast period until 2024, an average annual growth rate of 3% in labor productivity is quite likely. This growth rate suggests better structural ratios for investment and productivity trends and a slightly higher rate of accumulation than at the beginning of the forecast period.

中文翻译：

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劳动生产率和投资趋势：实证观察

摘要 讨论与俄罗斯成为世界五大经济体之一的政治和经济目标有关的问题。研究表明，GDP 现有趋势的延续应该允许俄罗斯在未来几年内从 GDP 世界国家中的第六位上升到第五位，但仅在 2020 年代末之前保持这一位置。作者认为，在直到 2024 年的预测期内，劳动生产率年均增长率为 3% 的可能性很大。这一增长率表明投资和生产率趋势的结构性比率更好，积累率比预测期开始时略高。