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Modeling the Impact of Crop Diseases on Global Food Security.
Annual Review of Phytopathology ( IF 10.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-27 , DOI: 10.1146/annurev-phyto-010820-012856
Serge Savary 1 , Laetitia Willocquet 1
Affiliation  

Plant pathology must contribute to improving food security in a safe operating space, which is shrinking as a result of declining natural resources, climate change, and the growing world population. This review analyzes the position of plant pathology in a nexus of relationships, which is mapped and where the coupled dynamics of crop growth, disease, and yield losses are modeled. We derive a hierarchy of pathogens, whereby pathogens reducing radiation interception (RI), radiation use efficiency (RUE), and harvest index increasingly impact crop yields in the approximate proportions: 1:4.5:4,700. Since the dawn of agriculture, plant breeding has targeted the harvest index as a main objective for domesticated plants. Surprisingly, the literature suggests that pathogens that reduce yields by directly damaging harvestable plant tissues have received much less attention than those that reduce RI or RUE. Ecological disease management needs to target diverse production situations and therefore must consider variation in attainable yields; this can be achieved through the reengineering of agrosystems to incorporate built-in dynamic diversity of genes, plants, and crop stands.

中文翻译:


模拟作物疾病对全球粮食安全的影响。

植物病理学必须有助于在安全的工作空间中改善粮食安全,由于自然资源的减少,气候变化和世界人口的增长,这种情况正在缩小。这篇综述分析了植物病理学在一系列关系中的位置,并对其进行了映射,并在其中模拟了作物生长,疾病和产量损失的耦合动态。我们得出病原体的层次结构,从而减少辐射拦截(RI),辐射利用效率(RUE)和收获指数的病原体越来越多地以大约1:4.5:4,700的比例影响农作物的产量。自农业问世以来,植物育种就将收获指数作为驯化植物的主要目标。出奇,文献表明,与直接降低RI或RUE的病原菌相比,通过直接破坏可收获的植物组织而降低产量的病原菌受到的关注要少得多。生态疾病管理需要针对不同的生产情况,因此必须考虑可达到的产量差异;这可以通过对农业系统进行重新设计以整合基因,植物和农作物的内置动态多样性来实现。

更新日期:2020-08-28
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