Abstract

The article describes the existing climate trends for western Siberia and Altai krai; Forecasts based on two global climate models are made up to 2030. The dynamics of arable and forested areas in Altai krai under conditions of climate siccation (aridization) is analyzed based on the results of the processing of remote-sensing data and official statistics. The trends in the development of the situation and measures to achieve land degradation neutrality, including the optimization of nature management, organization, and reorganization of protected areas, are considered.

中文翻译：

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阿尔泰边疆区土地利用变化：实现土地退化中立性的问题与前景

摘要

本文介绍了西伯利亚西部和阿尔泰边疆区的现有气候趋势；到2030年，将基于两个全球气候模型进行预测。基于遥感数据和官方统计数据的处理结果，分析了气候干燥（干旱化）条件下阿尔泰边疆区的耕地和林区的动态。考虑了形势发展趋势和实现土地退化中立性的措施，包括优化自然管理，组织和对保护区的重组。