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Climate-induced expansions of invasive species in the Pacific Northwest, North America: a synthesis of observations and projections
Biological Invasions ( IF 2.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-03-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s10530-020-02244-2
Jennifer A. Gervais , Ryan Kovach , Adam Sepulveda , Robert Al-Chokhachy , J. Joseph Giersch , Clint C. Muhlfeld

Climate change may facilitate the expansion of non-native invasive species (NIS) in aquatic and terrestrial systems. However, empirical evidence remains scarce and poorly synthesized at scales necessary for effective management. We conducted a literature synthesis to assess the state of research on the observed and predicted effects of climate change on a suite of 398 aquatic and terrestrial NIS now present in or a major threat to aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems of the Pacific Northwest (PNW), USA and British Columbia. Surprisingly, very few studies (n = 15) have investigated the observed effects of climate change on the distribution, abundance, spread, or impact of the focal NIS, with only five studies focusing on terrestrial (n = 2) or aquatic (n = 3) species within the PNW. Only 93 studies predicted the future dynamics of the focal NIS somewhere in their non-native range using climate model projections, yielding 117 species-specific predictions. However, only 30 of those studies generated predictions that overlapped with the PNW, and only six focused specifically on the expansion or abundance of NIS (n = 11 species) entirely within the region. Although our understanding of how climate change may interact with biological invasions is notably lacking, some evidence suggests that climate-induced NIS expansions are already underway in the PNW, particularly in aquatic ecosystems, and will be exacerbated by future changes in temperature and precipitation regimes. Better information is urgently needed for managers to implement strategic prevention, early detection, and proactive actions that ameliorate ecologically and economically devastating impacts of NIS.



中文翻译:

气候导致的北美西北太平洋入侵物种的扩展:观测和预测的综合

气候变化可能会促进水生和陆地系统中非本地入侵物种的扩散。但是,经验证据仍然匮乏,并且在有效管理所必需的规模上综合性很差。我们进行了文献综述,以评估气候变化对现在在美国西北太平洋(PNW)的水生和陆地生态系统中或对之构成重大威胁的一套398个水生和陆地NIS的研究和预测影响的研究状态。和不列颠哥伦比亚省。出人意料的是,很少有研究(n = 15)已经调查了观测到的气候变化上的分布,数量,传播,或焦点NIS的影响作用,只有五项研究侧重于地面(N = 2)水产(N = 3)西北太平洋地区的物种。只有93项研究预料到的使用气候模型预测,可以在非原生域范围内的某个特定国家NIS的未来动态,得出117种特定物种的预测。但是,这些研究中只有30项产生的预测与PNW重叠,只有6项专门针对整个区域内NIS的扩展或丰度(n = 11种)。尽管我们对气候变化可能如何与生物入侵相互作用的理解尚缺乏,但是一些证据表明,由自然环境引起的NIS扩散已经在西北太平洋地区进行了,特别是在水生生态系统中,并且随着温度和降水制度的未来变化而加剧。迫切需要更好的信息,以便管理人员实施战略预防,及早发现,

更新日期:2020-03-30
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