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Prolonged Periodicity and Eastward Shift of the January North Pacific Oscillation Since the Mid‐1990s and Its Linkage With Sea Ice Anomalies in the Barents Sea
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres ( IF 4.4 ) Pub Date : 2020-05-22 , DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032484
Zhiqing Xu 1, 2 , Ke Fan 1, 3
Affiliation  

The present study mainly investigates changes in the periodicity and location of the January North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and the underlying mechanisms during 1980–2018. The periodicity of the January NPO prolongs from 2–3 years to 5–8 years around the mid‐1990s. Corresponding to the prolonged periodicity, both the southern and northern lobes of the January NPO shift eastward, and their meridional movement is relatively weak. As a result, the impacts of the January NPO on surface air temperature in North America are enhanced. The changes in the periodicity and location of the January NPO differ from those of the NPO of other winter months. Further study shows that the changes in the January NPO are closely related to the sea ice anomalies in the Barents Sea in the preceding November‐December and January. The sea ice anomalies also display a periodicity of 5–8 years after the mid‐1990s, and their impacts on the January NPO are enhanced. The January NPO is significantly and negatively correlated with the sea ice anomalies after the mid‐1990s. The sea ice anomalies contribute to the prolonged periodicity and eastward shift of the January NPO by exciting a quasi‐stationary Rossby wave propagating eastward along the coast of northern Eurasia and resultant atmospheric dynamic processes. The physical mechanism is reasonably reproduced by the numerical experiment with observed sea ice anomalies in the Barents Sea prescribed. In addition, possible reasons for the enhanced impacts of the sea ice anomalies on the January NPO are discussed.

中文翻译:

1990年代中期以来1月北太平洋涛动的周期性延长和东移,以及与巴伦支海海冰异常的联系

本研究主要调查1980-2018年1月北太平洋涛动(NPO)的周期性和位置以及其潜在机制的变化。在1990年代中期左右,一月NPO的周期从2-3年延长到5-8年。与延长的周期相对应,一月非营利组织的南和北瓣向东移动,其子午运动相对较弱。结果,一月份的NPO对北美地表气温的影响增强了。一月份非营利组织的周期性和位置的变化不同于其他冬季月份的非营利组织。进一步的研究表明,1月份NPO的变化与11月至12月和1月份前巴伦支海的海冰异常密切相关。在1990年代中期之后,海冰异常还表现出5-8年的周期性,并且对1月NPO的影响也得到了增强。1990年代中期以后,1月的NPO与海冰异常显着负相关。海冰异常通过激发沿欧亚大陆北部沿海向东传播的准平稳Rossby波以及由此产生的大气动力学过程,导致一月NPO的周期性延长和东移。通过数值实验合理地再现了物理机制,并在规定的巴伦支海观察到了海冰异常。此外,还讨论了海冰异常对1月NPO影响增强的可能原因。1990年代中期以后,1月的NPO与海冰异常显着负相关。海冰异常通过激发沿欧亚大陆北部沿海向东传播的准平稳Rossby波以及由此产生的大气动力学过程,导致一月NPO的周期性延长和东移。通过数值实验合理地再现了物理机制,并在规定的巴伦支海观察到了海冰异常。此外,还讨论了海冰异常对1月NPO影响增强的可能原因。1990年代中期以后,1月的NPO与海冰异常显着负相关。海冰异常通过激发沿欧亚大陆北部沿海向东传播的准平稳Rossby波以及由此产生的大气动力学过程,导致一月NPO的周期性延长和东移。通过数值实验合理地再现了物理机制,并在规定的巴伦支海观察到了海冰异常。此外,还讨论了海冰异常对1月NPO影响增强的可能原因。海冰异常通过激发沿欧亚大陆北部沿海向东传播的准平稳Rossby波以及由此产生的大气动力学过程,导致一月NPO的周期性延长和东移。通过数值实验合理地再现了物理机制,并在规定的巴伦支海观察到了海冰异常。此外,还讨论了海冰异常对1月NPO影响增强的可能原因。海冰异常通过激发沿欧亚大陆北部沿海向东传播的准平稳Rossby波以及由此产生的大气动力学过程,导致一月NPO的周期性延长和东移。通过数值实验合理地再现了物理机制,并在规定的巴伦支海观察到了海冰异常。此外,还讨论了海冰异常对1月NPO影响增强的可能原因。
更新日期:2020-06-26
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