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Stopping Covid-19: A pandemic-management service value chain approach
Annals of Operations Research ( IF 4.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-05-14 , DOI: 10.1007/s10479-020-03635-3
Alok Baveja 1 , Ajai Kapoor 2 , Benjamin Melamed 1
Affiliation  

A logical strategy to contain the Covid-19 pandemic is to completely isolate everyone for 2 weeks (the incubation period of the virus). However, such a strategy can have prohibitive economic and social costs and, therefore, will be difficult to implement. At the same time, the current situation is leading to an expanding humanitarian, health and economic crisis. Based on principles of the Theory of Constraints, we propose in this article the “ S hutting-down T ransmission O f P andemic” (STOP Covid-19) plan that would reliably contain the pandemic, mitigate its economic consequences, and boost societal confidence. This plan requires the implementation of four strategies over 90 days: (a) stop all international, domestic passenger air and intercity bus/train travel; (b) create administrative zones of about 1 million people; (c) stop all non-emergency cross-zonal travel except for transportation of goods, and (d) deploy an information-driven service value chain to control the spread of the pandemic within a zone.

中文翻译:

阻止 Covid-19:流行病管理服务价值链方法

遏制 Covid-19 大流行的合理策略是将所有人完全隔离 2 周(病毒的潜伏期)。然而,这样的战略可能会产生令人望而却步的经济和社会成本,因此难以实施。与此同时,目前的局势正在导致人道主义、健康和经济危机不断扩大。基于约束理论的原则,我们在本文中提出了“停止传播流行病”(STOP Covid-19)计划,该计划将可靠地遏制大流行,减轻其经济后果并增强社会信心. 该计划需要在 90 天内实施四项战略: (a) 停止所有国际、国内客运航空和城际巴士/火车旅行;(b) 建立约 100 万人的行政区;
更新日期:2020-05-14
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