ABSTRACT

Degrowth is most commonly defined as a socially sustainable and equitable reduction (and eventually stabilisation) of society’s throughput. Throughput refers to the materials and energy that society extracts, processes, transports, and distributes, in order to consume and return back to the environment as waste. This paper builds on well-established ideas of the degrowth community and explores policy proposals from a system dynamics perspective. To better understand the underlying causal structure, it was necessary to go beyond the information available in the literature. Experts in the field of degrowth were contacted by means of an online questionnaire and the information collected was analysed and used to develop a simulation model which we employed to study potential impacts of implementing degrowth policies in developed countries. Simulation results confirm many of the experts’ predictions but also point to some unexpected consequences which would need to be addressed if these policies are to be seriously considered in the future.

摘要

最普遍的定义是社会可持续性社会生产力的下降（并最终稳定）。吞吐率是指社会提取，加工，运输和分配以消耗并作为废物返回环境的物质和能量。本文建立在关于退化性社区的公认观点的基础上，并从系统动力学的角度探讨了政策建议。为了更好地理解潜在的因果结构，有必要超越文献中提供的信息。通过在线调查表与消融领域的专家进行了联系，对收集到的信息进行了分析，并将其用于开发模拟模型，我们将其用于研究发达国家实施消融政策的潜在影响。