当前位置: X-MOL 学术EPJ Data Sci. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Success and luck in creative careers
EPJ Data Science ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2020-04-28 , DOI: 10.1140/epjds/s13688-020-00227-w
Milán Janosov , Federico Battiston , Roberta Sinatra

Luck is considered a crucial ingredient to achieve impact in all creative domains, despite their diversity. For instance, in science, the movie industry, music, and art, the occurrence of the highest impact work and a hot streak within a creative career are very difficult to predict. Are there domains that are more prone to luck than others? Here, we provide new insights on the role of randomness in impact in creative careers in two ways: (i) we systematically untangle luck and individual ability to generate impact in the movie, music, and book industries, and in science, and compare the luck factor between these fields; (ii) we show the surprising presence of randomness in the relationship between collaboration networks and timing of career hits. Taken together, our analysis suggests that luck consistently affects career impact across all considered sectors and improves our understanding in pinpointing the key elements in driving success.

中文翻译:

创意事业的成功与运气

尽管运气千差万别,但运气却被认为是在所有创意领域取得影响的关键因素。例如,在科学,电影业,音乐和艺术界,影响力最大的作品的出现和创作生涯中的连胜纪录很难预测。是否有比其他地方更容易碰运气的域名?在这里,我们以两种方式提供关于随机性在创意事业中影响力中的作用的新见解:(i)我们系统地理清运气和个人在电影,音乐和图书行业以及科学领域产生影响力的能力,并比较这些领域之间的运气因素;(ii)我们显示出协作网络与职业生涯时机之间的关系中随机性的惊人出现。在一起
更新日期:2020-04-28
down
wechat
bug