当前位置: X-MOL 学术IEEE Trans. Aerosp. Electron. Sys. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Optimal Arrangement of Missile Defense Systems Considering Kill-Probability
IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems ( IF 4.4 ) Pub Date : 2020-04-01 , DOI: 10.1109/taes.2019.2923331
Hyungho Na , Jin-Ik Lee

This paper proposes an optimal arrangement framework of ballistic missile defense systems, such as a launcher and radar to maximize the survivability of protected assets. In order to solve the optimization problem through a probabilistic approach, we derive a single shot kill probability (SSKP) model based on engagement geometries, trajectory characteristic of an interceptor and a ballistic missile, and error models embedded in both an interceptor and radar. This SSKP model is useful to predict a performance of defense systems in early design phase or to draw requirements of subsystems. After an SSKP model is derived, we present a framework to calculate the survivability of protected assets. In the framework, we establish a concept of survivability distributions of the protected assets, which vary with the arrangement of defense systems. By using the survivability distributions for given protected assets, the optimal location of a launcher and radar can be derived. The potential significance of the proposed framework is that it can be directly applicable in real defense systems by just substituting SSKP models derived in this paper with more sophisticatedly derived SSKP distributions. Finally, the optimal arrangements are derived by the proposed framework and the effectiveness of the results is evaluated through various case studies.

中文翻译:

考虑杀伤概率的导弹防御系统优化布置

本文提出了一种弹道导弹防御系统的优化布置框架,如发射器和雷达,以最大限度地提高受保护资产的生存能力。为了通过概率方法解决优化问题,我们基于交战几何结构、拦截器和弹道导弹的弹道特性以及拦截器和雷达中嵌入的误差模型推导出单发杀伤概率 (SSKP) 模型。此 SSKP 模型可用于在早期设计阶段预测防御系统的性能或绘制子系统的要求。在推导出 SSKP 模型后,我们提出了一个框架来计算受保护资产的生存能力。在该框架中,我们建立了受保护资产生存性分布的概念,其随防御系统的布置而变化。通过使用给定受保护资产的生存能力分布,可以推导出发射器和雷达的最佳位置。所提出的框架的潜在意义在于,只需将本文导出的 SSKP 模型替换为更复杂的 SSKP 分布,它就可以直接应用于实际防御系统。最后,通过所提出的框架得出最佳安排,并通过各种案例研究评估结果的有效性。
更新日期:2020-04-01
down
wechat
bug