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Transport policy, rail freight sector and market structure: The economic effects in Brazil
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice ( IF 6.4 ) Pub Date : 2020-03-06 , DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.02.018
Admir Antonio Betarelli , Edson Paulo Domingues , Geoffrey John Dennis Hewings

After fifteen years of railway concessions in Brazil, the rail freight sector became responsible for over 26% of the total transported volume in the country, an increase of 20% during this period. This Brazilian experience led a recovery in productivity and investment levels, with an improvement in service quality and modernization of the sector. Nevertheless, the rail price control mechanisms were almost unrestricted, allowing the concessionaires keep prices at very high levels. Just in 2012, it was held the first revision of price cap regulation of the sector. In this paper, we analyze the long-turn economic impacts of the rail freight sector tariff review policy in Brazil through the use of a dynamic general equilibrium model. The model incorporates some forms of market imperfections within its theoretical structure. Regardless the assumptions attributed to productive system, the main findings suggest that tariff policies promote positive effects on GDP growth, exports, and investments, as well as on other sectors, such as those most intensive in freight railways. However, the projections seem to confirm an onus on rail freight sector, with fall on its supply, return rate and private investment.



中文翻译:

运输政策,铁路货运部门和市场结构:巴西的经济影响

在巴西经过15年的铁路特许经营后,铁路货运部门占该国总运输量的26%以上,在此期间增长了20%。巴西的这种经验导致生产力和投资水平的恢复,服务质量的提高和该部门的现代化。然而,铁路价格控制机制几乎不受限制,这使特许经营者可以将价格保持在很高的水平。就在2012年,它举行了该行业价格上限法规的第一次修订。在本文中,我们通过使用动态一般均衡模型分析了巴西铁路货运关税审查政策的长期经济影响。该模型在其理论结构内纳入了某些形式的市场缺陷。不管归因于生产系统的假设如何,主要发现表明,关税政策对GDP增长,出口和投资以及其他部门(例如货运铁路最密集的部门)产生了积极影响。然而,这些预测似乎证实了铁路货运部门的责任,因为其供应,回报率和私人投资均有所下降。

更新日期:2020-03-07
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