Purpose

To explore the use of the C2HEST and HATCH scores to predict the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Asians.

Method

The predictive capability of AF of C2HEST and HATCH scores was estimated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). DeLong test was used to compared the difference of AUROC between the 2 scores.

Result

A total of 692,691 subjects were investigated. The risk of AF increased with increasing C2HEST and HATCH scores (p for trend<0.001). The AUROC for C2HEST and HATCHs in predicting AF occurrence was 0.7895 and 0.7711, respectively. C2HEST score had a significant better capability for AF stratification than HATCH score (DeLong test <0.001).

Conclusion

Higher C2HEST and HATCH scores were more strongly associated with the incidence of AF. The C2HEST score appeared to be more predictive of AF than the HATCH score.

中文翻译：

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亚洲普通人群新发房颤的预测：C2HEST和HATCH评分的比较。

目的

探索使用C2HEST和HATCH分数来预测亚洲人的心房颤动（AF）的发生率。

方法

C2HEST和HATCH分数对AF的预测能力是通过接收器工作特征曲线（AUROC）下的面积估算的。使用DeLong检验比较两个分数之间的AUROC差异。

结果

总共调查了692,691名受试者。房颤的风险随着C2HEST和HATCH得分的增加而增加（趋势<0.001，p值）。预测AF发生的C2HEST和HATCH的AUROC分别为0.7895和0.7711。C2HEST评分比AFTCH评分具有更好的房颤分层能力（DeLong检验<0.001）。

结论

较高的C2HEST和HATCH评分与房颤的发生率密切相关。C2HEST评分似乎比HATCH评分更能预测房颤。