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Old carbon reservoirs were not important in the deglacial methane budget
Science ( IF 56.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-02-20 , DOI: 10.1126/science.aax0504
M N Dyonisius 1 , V V Petrenko 1 , A M Smith 2 , Q Hua 2 , B Yang 2 , J Schmitt 3 , J Beck 3 , B Seth 3 , M Bock 3 , B Hmiel 1 , I Vimont 4 , J A Menking 5 , S A Shackleton 6 , D Baggenstos 3, 6 , T K Bauska 5, 7 , R H Rhodes 5, 8 , P Sperlich 9 , R Beaudette 6 , C Harth 6 , M Kalk 5 , E J Brook 5 , H Fischer 3 , J P Severinghaus 6 , R F Weiss 6
Affiliation  

Small burden from old sources Methane is a potent greenhouse gas with large natural sources, reservoirs, and sinks. Dyonisius et al. found that methane emissions from old, cold-region carbon reservoirs like permafrost and methane hydrates were minor during the last deglaciation (see the Perspective by Dean). They analyzed the carbon isotopic composition of atmospheric methane trapped in bubbles in Antarctic ice and found that methane emissions from those old carbon sources during the warming interval were small. They argue that this finding suggests that methane emissions in response to future warming likely will not be as large as some have suggested. Science, this issue p. 907; see also p. 846 Methane emissions from permafrost and gas hydrates were small during the last deglaciation. Permafrost and methane hydrates are large, climate-sensitive old carbon reservoirs that have the potential to emit large quantities of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, as the Earth continues to warm. We present ice core isotopic measurements of methane (Δ14C, δ13C, and δD) from the last deglaciation, which is a partial analog for modern warming. Our results show that methane emissions from old carbon reservoirs in response to deglacial warming were small (<19 teragrams of methane per year, 95% confidence interval) and argue against similar methane emissions in response to future warming. Our results also indicate that methane emissions from biomass burning in the pre-Industrial Holocene were 22 to 56 teragrams of methane per year (95% confidence interval), which is comparable to today.

中文翻译:

旧碳库在冰消期甲烷收支中并不重要

来自旧来源的小负担 甲烷是一种强大的温室气体,拥有大量的天然来源、水库和汇。迪奥尼修斯等。发现在最后一次冰消期间,来自古老寒冷地区碳库(如永久冻土和甲烷水合物)的甲烷排放量很小(参见 Dean 的观点)。他们分析了南极冰层气泡中捕获的大气甲烷的碳同位素组成,发现在变暖间隔期间这些旧碳源的甲烷排放量很小。他们认为,这一发现表明,对未来变暖做出反应的甲烷排放量可能不会像某些人所建议的那样大。科学,这个问题 p。907; 另见第 846 在最后一次冰消期间,来自永久冻土和天然气水合物的甲烷排放量很小。多年冻土和甲烷水合物很大,随着地球继续变暖,气候敏感的旧碳库有可能排放大量甲烷,这是一种强效温室气体。我们展示了上次冰消期产生的甲烷(Δ14C、δ13C 和 δD)的冰核同位素测量值,这是现代变暖的部分模拟。我们的结果表明,旧碳库响应冰消期变暖的甲烷排放量很小(每年<19 太克甲烷,95% 的置信区间),并且反对未来变暖时类似的甲烷排放量。我们的结果还表明,在工业全新世之前,生物质燃烧产生的甲烷排放量为每年 22 至 56 太克甲烷(95% 置信区间),与今天相当。随着地球继续变暖,一种强效温室气体。我们展示了上次冰消期产生的甲烷(Δ14C、δ13C 和 δD)的冰核同位素测量值,这是现代变暖的部分模拟。我们的结果表明,旧碳库响应冰消期变暖的甲烷排放量很小(每年<19 太克甲烷,95% 的置信区间),并且反对未来变暖时类似的甲烷排放量。我们的结果还表明,在工业全新世之前,生物质燃烧产生的甲烷排放量为每年 22 至 56 太克甲烷(95% 置信区间),与今天相当。随着地球继续变暖,一种强效温室气体。我们展示了上次冰消期产生的甲烷(Δ14C、δ13C 和 δD)的冰核同位素测量值,这是现代变暖的部分模拟。我们的结果表明,旧碳库响应冰消期变暖的甲烷排放量很小(每年<19 太克甲烷,95% 的置信区间),并且反对未来变暖时类似的甲烷排放量。我们的结果还表明,在工业全新世之前,生物质燃烧产生的甲烷排放量为每年 22 至 56 太克甲烷(95% 置信区间),与今天相当。我们的结果表明,旧碳库响应冰消期变暖的甲烷排放量很小(每年<19 太克甲烷,95% 的置信区间),并且反对未来变暖时类似的甲烷排放量。我们的结果还表明,在工业全新世之前,生物质燃烧产生的甲烷排放量为每年 22 至 56 太克甲烷(95% 置信区间),与今天相当。我们的结果表明,旧碳库响应冰消期变暖的甲烷排放量很小(每年<19 太克甲烷,95% 的置信区间),并且反对未来变暖时类似的甲烷排放量。我们的结果还表明,在工业全新世之前,生物质燃烧产生的甲烷排放量为每年 22 至 56 太克甲烷(95% 置信区间),与今天相当。
更新日期:2020-02-20
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