In response to an increased reliance on bigger, Neopanamax-sized vessels for shipping, the Panama Canal has been expanded. Whilst the way that vessels transit the newly expanded canal has stayed the same, maneuvering operations have changed. As a result, transit times have been affected. In accordance with the size and cargo of vessels, canal navigation rules restrict how access channels (Culebra Cut, Gatún Lake, and seaways) and new locks (Cocolí and Agua Clara) are used. Larger sized, Neopanamax vessels will benefit most from the expanded canal. Since the canal opened on 26 June 2016, data on transit times have been gathered. With these data, a thorough statistical analysis should be carried out. The most influential variables on overall time in transit (TET), such as pilot skill and Culebra Cut or Gatun Lake transit times, are identified. Formulae based on multivariate linear regression can be extracted that will make it possible to establish a conductive methodology for estimating the transit time of a Neopanamax vessel. Taking into account the results of the statistical analysis, a proposal is included for improving Neopanamax traffic management, with views to reduce the TET, from a transit policy point of view. This is the first work in scientific literature that analyzes in detail, from qualitative and statistical approaches, the total time in transit through the set of navigable routes and locks that compose the new expanded Panama Canal.

中文翻译：

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用于巴拿马运河交通管理的新巴拿马型船舶航行时间的建模和预测

为了应对对更大的新巴拿马型船舶的依赖增加，巴拿马运河已经扩建。虽然船只通过新扩建的运河的方式保持不变，但操纵操作发生了变化。因此，运输时间受到了影响。根据船只的大小和货物，运河航行规则限制了通道（Culebra Cut、Gatún 湖和航道）和新船闸（Cocolí 和 Agua Clara）的使用方式。更大尺寸的新巴拿马型船只将从扩张的运河中受益最大。自运河于 2016 年 6 月 26 日开通以来，已经收集了运输时间的数据。有了这些数据，就应该进行彻底的统计分析。确定了对整体运输时间 (TET) 影响最大的变量，例如飞行员技能和 Culebra Cut 或 Gatun Lake 运输时间。可以提取基于多元线性回归的公式，这将使建立用于估计新巴拿马型船舶航行时间的传导方法成为可能。考虑到统计分析的结果，从过境政策的角度来看，提出了一项改善新巴拿马型交通管理的建议，以减少 TET。这是科学文献中的第一部作品，从定性和统计方法详细分析了通过构成新扩建的巴拿马运河的一组通航路线和船闸的总时间。包括一项改进 Neopanamax 交通管理的提案，从过境政策的角度考虑减少 TET。这是科学文献中的第一部作品，从定性和统计方法详细分析了通过构成新扩建的巴拿马运河的一组通航路线和船闸的总时间。包括一项改进 Neopanamax 交通管理的提案，从过境政策的角度考虑减少 TET。这是科学文献中的第一部作品，从定性和统计方法详细分析了通过构成新扩建的巴拿马运河的一组通航路线和船闸的总时间。