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Measuring underlying energy efficiency in the GCC countries using a newly constructed dataset
Energy Transitions Pub Date : 2019-07-30 , DOI: 10.1007/s41825-019-00012-y
Shahad Alarenan , Anwar A. Gasim , Lester C. Hunt , Abdel Rahman Muhsen

Energy consumption accounts for most of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Managing the growth in energy demand is therefore a key part of climate change mitigation. In the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, energy consumption has been growing rapidly. Between 2004 and 2014, final energy consumption grew at an average annual rate of 6.8% compared to a global average of 1.8%. Energy efficiency can help GCC countries manage their energy demand growth, but it is difficult to measure energy efficiency, so analysts often rely on indirect indicators such as energy intensity. Frontier analysis can be used to measure energy efficiency, but is data intensive. To undertake frontier analysis for the GCC countries it was therefore necessary to construct a new dataset, which was used for corrected ordinary least squares to estimate underlying energy efficiency between 2004 and 2014 for two key sectors in the GCC countries: residential electricity and road transport gasoline. The results suggest that underlying energy efficiency generally improved in the GCC region, in contrast to the trend of rising energy intensity that the region has been witnessing. The energy efficiency improvements may have been driven by global technical progress and tighter global fuel economy standards, of which the GCC countries were beneficiaries. With the provision of high quality, recent data with shorter lag times, frontier analysis could be used to provide prompt feedback on the impact of energy efficiency policies and programmes, leading to better outcomes.

中文翻译:

使用新构建的数据集测量海湾合作委员会国家的基本能源效率

能源消耗占全球人为温室气体排放量的大部分。因此,管理能源需求的增长是缓解气候变化的关键部分。在海湾合作委员会(GCC)国家中,能源消耗一直在迅速增长。从2004年到2014年,最终能源消耗的年均增长率为6.8%,而全球平均水平为1.8%。能源效率可以帮助海湾合作委员会国家管理其能源需求增长,但是很难衡量能源效率,因此分析人员通常依赖于间接指标,例如能源强度。边界分析可用于衡量能源效率,但数据密集。为了对海湾合作委员会国家进行边境分析,因此有必要建立一个新的数据集,该数据用于校正后的普通最小二乘法,以估算2004年至2014年之间海湾合作委员会国家中两个关键部门的基本能效:居民用电和公路运输汽油。结果表明,与海湾地区能源强度上升的趋势相反,海湾合作委员会地区的基本能源效率总体上有所提高。能源效率的提高可能是由全球技术进步和更严格的全球燃油经济性标准推动的,海湾合作委员会国家是其中的受益者。通过提供高质量,滞后时间较短的最新数据,前沿分析可用于提供有关能效政策和计划影响的及时反馈,从而带来更好的结果。
更新日期:2019-07-30
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