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Prediction Model Needs More Improvements Before Clinical Application
Clinical Infectious Diseases ( IF 11.8 ) Pub Date : 2019-05-29 , DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciz446
Hong-Lin Chen 1 , Yi-Ping Song 2 , Kun Liu 3
Affiliation  

To the Editor—We read with interest the impressive study by Hong et al [1] that developed a new clinical prediction model of aminoglycoside (AG)-induced hearing loss among patients initiating drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) treatment. The results showed reasonable discrimination (area under curve [AUC] = 0.71) and calibration (χ2[8] = 6.10; P = .636) in the development cohort, and satisfied discrimination (AUC = 0.81) and calibration (χ2[8] = 6.48; P = .593) in the validation (ultrahigh-frequency hearing loss) cohort. According to these results, we agree that the authors built a simple model for the identification of patients with DR-TB who are at the highest risk of developing AG-induced ototoxicity. However, we think this model should be improved before its clinical application.

中文翻译:

预测模型在临床应用之前需要进一步改进

致编辑-我们感兴趣地阅读了Hong等人[1]的一项令人印象深刻的研究,该研究开发了一种新的氨基糖苷(AG)诱发耐药结核病(DR-TB)治疗的患者听力丧失的临床预测模型。结果表明合理歧视(曲线下面积[AUC] = 0.71)和校准(χ 2 [8] = 6.10; P = 0.636)的开发队列中,和满意歧视(AUC = 0.81)和校准(χ 2 [ 8]= 6.48; P = .593)在验证(超高频听力损失)队列中。根据这些结果,我们同意作者建立了一个简单的模型,用于识别发生AG诱发的耳毒性最高风险的DR-TB患者。但是,我们认为该模型应在临床应用之前加以改进。
更新日期:2020-01-16
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