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Marine Forecasting and Fishing Safety: Improving the Fit between Forecasts and Harvester Needs.
Journal of Agromedicine ( IF 2.4 ) Pub Date : 2019-07-11 , DOI: 10.1080/1059924x.2019.1639576
Joel Finnis 1 , James W Shewmake 2 , Barb Neis 2 , Devon Telford 3
Affiliation  

Objectives: Weather is a key source of marine risk, but relationships between fishing activity, safety, and weather remain poorly understood. Critically, the fit between available marine forecast products, fish harvesters’ needs, and harvester’s decision-making processes has not been rigorously assessed. This paper addresses these gaps by documenting a) weather-related decision-making by harvesters, and its relationship to forecasts across multiple regions and fisheries on Canada’s East coast (Newfoundland) and b) the dynamics of forecast production priorities.

Methods: A multi-disciplinary, community-engaged research approach, conducted in partnership with the Newfoundland and Labrador Fish Harvesting Safety Association (NL-FHSA). Data consist of semi-structured interviews with fish harvesters and weather forecasters, focused on marine forecast production and use.

Results: Results emphasize that there is a subjective “art” to both production and use of marine forecasts. Forecasters and harvesters share several common values regarding forecasts, but different emphases: forecasters favor some combination of accuracy, consistency, and utility, while harvesters are largely concerned with utility. Finally, harvesters’ decision-making is based on nuanced and contextual interpretations of a few key hazards (winds and, to a lesser extent, waves).

Conclusion: This community-engaged research has triggered experimentation with forecasts tailored to fisheries utility within Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). It lays the groundwork for ongoing, mutually beneficial dialogue between forecasters and harvesters, engaging harvesters with the forecasting process while familiarizing forecasters with harvester’s decision-making processes. Ongoing industry partnerships (NL-FHSA) continue to sustain momentum from this study towards further enhancing the utility of future marine forecasts for small-scale harvesters.



中文翻译:

海洋预报和捕捞安全:提高预报和收割者需求之间的契合度。

目标:天气是海洋风险的主要来源,但是人们对捕鱼活动,安全和天气之间的关系知之甚少。至关重要的是,尚未严格评估可用的海洋预报产品,鱼类收获者的需求和收获者的决策过程之间的适合性。本文通过记录以下方面来解决这些差距:a)收割者与天气有关的决策,以及与加拿大东海岸(纽芬兰)多个地区和渔业的预报之间的关系,以及b)预报生产重点的动态。

方法:与纽芬兰和拉布拉多鱼类捕捞安全协会(NL-FHSA)合作进行的跨学科,社区参与的研究方法。数据包括对鱼类收获者和天气预报员的半结构化访谈,重点是海洋预报的生产和使用。

结果:结果强调,海洋预报的产生和使用都具有主观的“艺术”。预报员和收割者在预测方面具有几个共同的价值观,但重点不同:预报员偏爱准确性,一致性和效用的某种组合,而收割者则主要关注效用。最后,收割者的决策基于对一些关键危害(风和较小程度的波动)的细微差别和上下文解释。

结论:这项社区参与的研究已经触发了针对加拿大环境与气候变化组织(ECCC)的渔业实用性预测的实验。它为预报员和收割者之间进行持续,互利的对话奠定了基础,使收割者参与了预报过程,同时使预报员熟悉了收割者的决策过程。正在进行的行业合作伙伴关系(NL-FHSA)继续保持这项研究的势头,从而进一步增强了小型收获者未来海洋预报的实用性。

更新日期:2019-07-11
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