Economists applied data from 1949-1950 and 1980-1981 to a new dynamic model to examine the dynamics of determinants of agricultural wages in Bangladesh, particularly the effect of changes in relative prices of rice (the staple food) and productivity. Just a 20% rise in the price or rice was passed on in the agricultural wage rate within the current year. About 50% was passed on in the long run, however. Therefore an increase in the price of rice reduced the rice purchasing power of agricultural wages in the short and long term. In fact, the importance given to rice in the long run real wage rate was almost the same as the mean proportion of expenditure that an agricultural laborer in Bangladesh committed to rice and closely related food staples. Thus arise in the price of rice in comparison to other goods had limited effects on the long run real wage in terms of the bundle of goods typically consumed, but very adverse effects in the short run placing a high burden on the rural poor. On the other hand, the long run real wage rate fell considerably between the mid 1960s-early 1980s when overall agricultural productivity increased. The economists pointed out that this increased productivity may not have lowered long run real wage rates, but instead mitigating factors may have contributed to this fall. For example, population growth, rising landlessness, and insufficient economic growth in nonagricultural sectors resulted in a consistent growth in the labor supply. In conclusion, this new dynamic model showed that Bangladesh cannot depend only on agricultural growth to reduce the poverty of farmers.

中文翻译：

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孟加拉国农业工资确定的动态计量模型

经济学家将 1949-1950 年和 1980-1981 年的数据应用到一个新的动态模型中，以检查孟加拉国农业工资决定因素的动态，特别是大米（主食）和生产力相对价格变化的影响。本年度农业工资率仅传递了价格或大米上涨 20% 的影响。然而，从长远来看，大约有 50% 被传递了出去。因此，大米价格的上涨在短期和长期都降低了农业工资的大米购买力。事实上，从长远来看，对大米的重视与实际工资率几乎与孟加拉国一名农业劳动力对大米和密切相关的主食的支出的平均比例相同。因此，与其他商品相比，大米价格的上涨对通常消费的一揽子商品的长期实际工资的影响有限，但在短期内产生了非常不利的影响，给农村贫困人口带来了沉重负担。另一方面，在 1960 年代中期至 1980 年代初期，当整体农业生产力提高时，长期实际工资率大幅下降。经济学家指出，这种生产力的提高可能并未降低长期实际工资率，但缓解因素可能导致了今年的下降。例如，人口增长、失地现象增多以及非农业部门经济增长不足导致劳动力供应持续增长。综上所述，