The concept of Earth's Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is reviewed. A particular problem in quantifying plausible bounds for ECS has been how to account for all of the diverse lines of relevant scientific evidence. It is argued that developing and refuting physical storylines (hypotheses) for values outside any proposed range has the potential to better constrain these bounds and to help articulate the science needed to narrow the range further. A careful reassessment of all important lines of evidence supporting these storylines, their limitations, and the assumptions required to combine them is therefore required urgently.

中文翻译：

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缩小地球平衡气候敏感性范围的前景。

审查了地球平衡气候敏感性（ECS）的概念。量化ECS合理范围的一个特殊问题是如何解释所有相关科学证据的多样性。有人认为，为任何拟议范围之外的价值制定和驳斥实情故事情节（假设）有可能更好地限制这些界限，并有助于阐明进一步缩小范围的科学依据。因此，迫切需要对支持这些故事情节的所有重要证据，其局限性以及将它们结合起来所需要的假设进行认真的重新评估。