The most commonly used risk assessment tools for predicting sexual violence focus almost exclusively on static, historical factors. Consequently, they are assumed to be unable to directly inform the selection of treatment targets, or evaluate change. However, researchers using latent variable models have identified three dimensions in static actuarial scales for sexual offenders: Sexual Criminality, General Criminality, and a third dimension centered on young age and aggression to strangers. In the current study, we examined the convergent and predictive validity of these dimensions, using psychological features of the offender (e.g., antisocial traits, hypersexuality) and recidivism outcomes. Results indicated that (a) Sexual Criminality was related to dysregulation of sexuality toward atypical objects, without intent to harm; (b) General Criminality was related to antisocial traits; and (c) Youthful Stranger Aggression was related to a clear intent to harm the victim. All three dimensions predicted sexual recidivism, although only General Criminality and Youthful Stranger Aggression predicted nonsexual recidivism. These results indicate that risk tools for sexual violence are multidimensional, and support a shift from an exclusive focus on total scores to consideration of subscales measuring psychologically meaningful constructs.

中文翻译：

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性累犯风险的三个主要方面：了解Static-99R和Static-2002R的潜在构造。

用于预测性暴力的最常用风险评估工具几乎完全集中于静态的历史因素。因此，假定他们无法直接告知治疗目标的选择或评估变化。但是，研究人员使用潜在变量模型在静态精算量表中确定了性犯罪者的三个维度：性犯罪，一般犯罪，以及以年轻人和对陌生人的侵略为中心的第三个维度。在当前的研究中，我们使用犯罪者的心理特征（例如反社会特征，性欲亢进）和累犯结果，检验了这些维度的收敛性和预测有效性。结果表明：（a）性犯罪与对非典型物体的性行为失调有关，无意伤害；（b）一般犯罪与反社会特征有关；（c）青年陌生人的侵略与明显伤害受害者有关。这三个维度都预示着性累犯，尽管只有“一般犯罪”和“青年陌生人侵略”预示了非性累犯。这些结果表明，性暴力的风险工具是多维的，并且支持从仅关注总分的注意力转向考虑心理意义结构的分量表的考虑。