Policy must anticipate conflict over geographic shifts The ocean is a critical source of nutrition for billions of people, with potential to yield further food, profits, and employment in the future (1). But fisheries face a serious new challenge as climate change drives the ocean to conditions not experienced historically. Local, national, regional, and international fisheries are substantially underprepared for geographic shifts in marine animals driven by climate change over the coming decades. Fish and other animals have already shifted into new territory at a rate averaging 70 km per decade (2), and these shifts are expected to continue or accelerate (3). We show here that many species will likely shift across national and other political boundaries in the coming decades, creating the potential for conflict over newly shared resources.

中文翻译：

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为移动中的物种准备海洋治理

政策必须预见到因地理变化引起的冲突 海洋是数十亿人的重要营养来源，未来有可能产生更多的食物、利润和就业 (1)。但随着气候变化将海洋推向历史上从未经历过的状况，渔业面临着严峻的新挑战。在未来几十年中，当地、国家、区域和国际渔业对气候变化导致的海洋动物地理变化准备不足。鱼类和其他动物已经以平均每十年 70 公里的速度转移到新领域 (2)，预计这些转移将继续或加速 (3)。我们在这里表明，在未来几十年中，许多物种可能会跨越国家和其他政治边界，从而为新共享的资源产生冲突的可能性。