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HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS BASED ON HUMAN ABILITIES THEORY MODEL
IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems ( IF 11.9 ) Pub Date : 2018-04-01 , DOI: 10.1109/tfuzz.2017.2685361
Pedro A. Baziuk , Jorge E. Nunez Mc Leod , Selva S. Rivera

In this paper, we introduce a new Human Reliability Analysis method based on a Human Abilities Theory Model (HRA-HAT). This approach simultaneously addresses cross-cutting aspects of the main issues and criticisms of human reliability models: 1) model's theoretical bases (including taxonomy and concept specificity); 2) definition and use of performance shaping factors; and 3) HRA quantification. HAT is used to support method parameters selection and the consequent data collection procedure. The resulting methodology works on the basis of three main stages: 1) Fuzzy Cognitive Task Analysis; 2) Fuzzy Operator Analysis; and 3) Fuzzy Human Error Probability estimation based on Human Abilities Theory model. “Operator Analysis” is a new stage of HRA that reduces uncertainty about individuals’ actual behavior in specific situations by focusing on this essential component of sociotechnical systems. To exemplify method implementation procedures, an illustrative example is analyzed. Finally, methodology sensibility and uncertainty are explored in order to prompt HRA-HAT validation. Since this methodology was conceived as an approach applicable to several fields, it is expected to be revised and adapted for further practical applications.

中文翻译:

基于人的能力理论模型的人的可靠性分析

在本文中,我们介绍了一种基于人类能力理论模型 (HRA-HAT) 的新的人类可靠性分析方法。这种方法同时解决了人类可靠性模型的主要问题和批评的跨领域方面:1)模型的理论基础(包括分类法和概念特异性);2) 性能塑造因素的定义和使用;3) HRA 量化。HAT 用于支持方法参数选择和随后的数据收集过程。由此产生的方法论基于三个主要阶段:1)模糊认知任务分析;2) 模糊算子分析;3) 基于人类能力理论模型的模糊人为错误概率估计。“操作员分析”是 HRA 的一个新阶段,它通过关注社会技术系统的这一基本组成部分来减少个人在特定情况下实际行为的不确定性。为了举例说明方法实施过程,分析了一个说明性示例。最后,探讨了方法的敏感性和不确定性,以促进 HRA-HAT 验证。由于这种方法被认为是一种适用于多个领域的方法,预计将对其进行修订和调整,以用于进一步的实际应用。
更新日期:2018-04-01
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