The management of conflicts between wildlife conservation and agricultural practices often involves the implementation of strategies aimed at reducing the cost of wildlife impacts on crops. Vital to the success of these strategies is the perception that changes in management efforts are synchronized relative to changes in impact levels, yet this expectation is never evaluated. We assess the level of synchrony between time series of population counts and management effort in the context of conflicts between agriculture and five populations of large grazing birds in northern Europe. We reveal inconsistent patterns of synchrony and asynchrony between changes in population counts and impact management effort relating to population harvesting, monetary payments, or scaring practices. This variation is likely due to differing management aims, the existence of lags between management decisions and population monitoring, and the inconsistent use of predictive models across case studies. Overall, our findings highlight the need for more adaptive and timely responses of management to changes in target species numbers so as not to unexpectedly increase social conflicts and jeopardize the status of wildlife populations.

中文翻译：

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时间序列分析揭示了北欧冲突管理工作与大型食草鸟类数量增加之间的同步和异步

野生动物保护和农业实践之间冲突的管理通常涉及实施旨在减少野生动物对农作物影响的成本的战略。这些策略成功的关键在于人们认为管理工作的变化与影响水平的变化是同步的，但这种期望从未得到评估。我们评估了北欧农业与五个大型食草鸟类种群之间冲突的背景下人口计数时间序列与管理工作之间的同步程度。我们揭示了人口数量变化和与人口收获、货币支付或恐吓行为相关的影响管理工作之间同步和异步的不一致模式。这种差异可能是由于不同的管理目标、管理决策和人口监测之间存在滞后以及案例研究中预测模型的不一致使用造成的。总体而言，我们的研究结果强调，管理部门需要对目标物种数量的变化做出更加适应性和及时的反应，以免意外增加社会冲突并危及野生动物种群的状况。