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Uncertainty about future payoffs makes impatience rational
Behavioral and Brain Sciences ( IF 29.3 ) Pub Date : 2017-11-29 , DOI: 10.1017/s0140525x17001005
James Holland Jones

Uncertainty (i.e., variable payoffs with unknown probabilities) brings together a number of features of the authors' argument. It leads to present bias, even for completely rational agents with time-consistent preferences. As an evolutionary product of Pleistocene climate instability, humans possess broad adaptations to environmental uncertainty, giving rise to key features of the behavioral constellation of deprivation (BCD).

中文翻译:

未来回报的不确定性使不耐烦变得理性

不确定性(即具有未知概率的可变收益)汇集了作者论点的许多特征。即使对于具有时间一致偏好的完全理性的代理,它也会导致当前偏差。作为更新世气候不稳定的进化产物,人类对环境不确定性具有广泛的适应能力,从而产生了剥夺行为星座(BCD)的关键特征。
更新日期:2017-11-29
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