European Heart Journal ( IF 39.3 ) Pub Date : 2017-11-08 , DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx625 Alexander Niessner 1 , Juan Tamargo 2 , Lorenz Koller 1 , Christoph H Saely 3, 4, 5 , Thomas Andersen Schmidt 6, 7 , Gianluigi Savarese 8 , Sven Wassmann 9 , Giuseppe Rosano 10, 11 , Claudio Ceconi 12 , Christian Torp-Pedersen 13, 14 , Juan Carlos Kaski 15 , Keld Per Kjeldsen 16, 17, 18 , Stefan Agewall 19, 20 , Thomas Walther 21, 22 , Heinz Drexel 3, 4, 5, 23 , Basil S Lewis 24, 25
Relevance of studies for patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Power (n of patients with primary endpoint) | Established cardiovascular disease | Concomitant cardiovascular medication | Relevant exclusion criteria | Relevance of study |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | Adequate (772) | 99% | Vast majority | Recent ACS, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
CANVAS Program | Canagliflozin | Strong (1011) | 66% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | Strong (1302) | 81% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | Moderate (254) | 59% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm, pancreatitis | Relevant for stable CVD | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | Strong (1744) | 73% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, history of pancreatitis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | Adequate (805) | 100% (ACS) | Vast majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, pancreatitis, gastrointestinal disease, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer | Highly relevant for ACS | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | Strong (1086) | 100% | Majority | Recent ACS, symptomatic heart failure, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | Strong (1222) | 79% | Majority | Recent ACS | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | Adequate (621) | 100% (ACS within the previous 15–90 days) | Vast majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV | Highly relevant for ACS | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | Strong (1690) | 74% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | Moderate (139 during follow-up of > 10 years) | NR | Limited use | >65 years of age | Limited relevance for CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha-glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | Hypothesis generating study (47) | <5% | Limited use | Any cardiovascular event within the last 6 months | Limited relevance for CVD |
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Power (n of patients with primary endpoint) | Established cardiovascular disease | Concomitant cardiovascular medication | Relevant exclusion criteria | Relevance of study |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | Adequate (772) | 99% | Vast majority | Recent ACS, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
CANVAS Program | Canagliflozin | Strong (1011) | 66% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | Strong (1302) | 81% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | Moderate (254) | 59% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm, pancreatitis | Relevant for stable CVD | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | Strong (1744) | 73% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, history of pancreatitis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | Adequate (805) | 100% (ACS) | Vast majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, pancreatitis, gastrointestinal disease, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer | Highly relevant for ACS | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | Strong (1086) | 100% | Majority | Recent ACS, symptomatic heart failure, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | Strong (1222) | 79% | Majority | Recent ACS | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | Adequate (621) | 100% (ACS within the previous 15–90 days) | Vast majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV | Highly relevant for ACS | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | Strong (1690) | 74% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | Moderate (139 during follow-up of > 10 years) | NR | Limited use | >65 years of age | Limited relevance for CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha-glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | Hypothesis generating study (47) | <5% | Limited use | Any cardiovascular event within the last 6 months | Limited relevance for CVD |
ACS, acute coronary syndrome; CVD, cardiovascular disease; NA, not applicable; NR, not reported.
Relevance of studies for patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Power (n of patients with primary endpoint) | Established cardiovascular disease | Concomitant cardiovascular medication | Relevant exclusion criteria | Relevance of study |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | Adequate (772) | 99% | Vast majority | Recent ACS, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
CANVAS Program | Canagliflozin | Strong (1011) | 66% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | Strong (1302) | 81% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | Moderate (254) | 59% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm, pancreatitis | Relevant for stable CVD | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | Strong (1744) | 73% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, history of pancreatitis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | Adequate (805) | 100% (ACS) | Vast majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, pancreatitis, gastrointestinal disease, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer | Highly relevant for ACS | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | Strong (1086) | 100% | Majority | Recent ACS, symptomatic heart failure, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | Strong (1222) | 79% | Majority | Recent ACS | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | Adequate (621) | 100% (ACS within the previous 15–90 days) | Vast majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV | Highly relevant for ACS | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | Strong (1690) | 74% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | Moderate (139 during follow-up of > 10 years) | NR | Limited use | >65 years of age | Limited relevance for CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha-glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | Hypothesis generating study (47) | <5% | Limited use | Any cardiovascular event within the last 6 months | Limited relevance for CVD |
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Power (n of patients with primary endpoint) | Established cardiovascular disease | Concomitant cardiovascular medication | Relevant exclusion criteria | Relevance of study |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | Adequate (772) | 99% | Vast majority | Recent ACS, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
CANVAS Program | Canagliflozin | Strong (1011) | 66% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, eGFR < 30 mL/min, medical history of cancer | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | Strong (1302) | 81% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | Moderate (254) | 59% | Majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV, malignant neoplasm, pancreatitis | Relevant for stable CVD | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | Strong (1744) | 73% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer, history of pancreatitis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | Adequate (805) | 100% (ACS) | Vast majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, pancreatitis, gastrointestinal disease, personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer | Highly relevant for ACS | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | Strong (1086) | 100% | Majority | Recent ACS, symptomatic heart failure, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | Strong (1222) | 79% | Majority | Recent ACS | Highly relevant for stable CVD |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | Adequate (621) | 100% (ACS within the previous 15–90 days) | Vast majority | Recent ACS, NYHA IV | Highly relevant for ACS | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | Strong (1690) | 74% | Majority | eGFR < 30 mL/min, ketoacidosis | Highly relevant for stable CVD | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | Moderate (139 during follow-up of > 10 years) | NR | Limited use | >65 years of age | Limited relevance for CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha-glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | Hypothesis generating study (47) | <5% | Limited use | Any cardiovascular event within the last 6 months | Limited relevance for CVD |
ACS, acute coronary syndrome; CVD, cardiovascular disease; NA, not applicable; NR, not reported.
Outcome for patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Median follow-up (years) | Reduction of (NNT) | Specific adverse effects (NNHa) | Evidence for benefit/harm of investigational drug | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary composite cardiovascular endpoint | Secondary cardiovascular endpoints | All-cause mortality | ||||||
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | 3.1 | Yes (61) | Cardiovascular death (45), heart failure hospitalization (72) | Yes (39) | Genital infection (22), volume depletion in patients ≥75 years, ketoacidosis | Relevant benefit, particularly for patients at risk or with HF |
CANVASa Program | Canagliflozin | 2.4 | Yes (72)a | Heart failure hospitalization (104a, exploratory analysis) | No | Amputation (115a), low-trauma fractures, male genitalia infection (14a) | Relevant benefit at the cost of increased risk of amputations | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | 3.8 | Yes (55) | Cardiovascular death (79) | Yes (71) | Injection site reaction with once daily sc injection (233), drug discontinuation due to nausea (79), acute gallstone disease (85) | Relevant benefit |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | 2.1 | Yes (43) | Non-fatal stroke (97) | No | Retinopathy (78), gastrointestinal disorders (66) | Relevant benefit | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | 3.2 | No | No | No [exploratory analysis yes (100)] | Thyroid papillary carcinomas (n = 10 vs. 4) | Non-significant trend for benefit | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | 2.1 | No | No | No | Gastrointestinal disorders leading to drug discontinuation (27) | No benefit | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | 2.9 | No | Composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke (49), increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 62) | No | Oedema wo heart failure (12) | Potential benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | 2.1 | No | Increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 140) | No | Increased (but very rare) occurrence of non-fatal angioedema | No benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | 2.1 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | 3.0 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | 10.7 | Yes (11) | Non-fatal MI (16) | Yes (11) | NR | Potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha- glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | 3.38 | Yes (40) | Non-fatal MI (62) | NR | Premature study drug discontinuation (8) | Hypothesis generation for potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Median follow-up (years) | Reduction of (NNT) | Specific adverse effects (NNHa) | Evidence for benefit/harm of investigational drug | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary composite cardiovascular endpoint | Secondary cardiovascular endpoints | All-cause mortality | ||||||
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | 3.1 | Yes (61) | Cardiovascular death (45), heart failure hospitalization (72) | Yes (39) | Genital infection (22), volume depletion in patients ≥75 years, ketoacidosis | Relevant benefit, particularly for patients at risk or with HF |
CANVASa Program | Canagliflozin | 2.4 | Yes (72)a | Heart failure hospitalization (104a, exploratory analysis) | No | Amputation (115a), low-trauma fractures, male genitalia infection (14a) | Relevant benefit at the cost of increased risk of amputations | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | 3.8 | Yes (55) | Cardiovascular death (79) | Yes (71) | Injection site reaction with once daily sc injection (233), drug discontinuation due to nausea (79), acute gallstone disease (85) | Relevant benefit |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | 2.1 | Yes (43) | Non-fatal stroke (97) | No | Retinopathy (78), gastrointestinal disorders (66) | Relevant benefit | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | 3.2 | No | No | No [exploratory analysis yes (100)] | Thyroid papillary carcinomas (n = 10 vs. 4) | Non-significant trend for benefit | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | 2.1 | No | No | No | Gastrointestinal disorders leading to drug discontinuation (27) | No benefit | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | 2.9 | No | Composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke (49), increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 62) | No | Oedema wo heart failure (12) | Potential benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | 2.1 | No | Increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 140) | No | Increased (but very rare) occurrence of non-fatal angioedema | No benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | 2.1 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | 3.0 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | 10.7 | Yes (11) | Non-fatal MI (16) | Yes (11) | NR | Potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha- glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | 3.38 | Yes (40) | Non-fatal MI (62) | NR | Premature study drug discontinuation (8) | Hypothesis generation for potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
NNT/NNH number needed to treat/harm was calculated only for significant results with the formula 100/absolute difference of endpoint in % for the given follow-up period.
ACS, acute coronary syndrome; NR, not reported.
NNTs/NNHs were calculated based on the given event rates per 1000 patient years and transformed for a follow-up of 3 years.
Outcome for patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Median follow-up (years) | Reduction of (NNT) | Specific adverse effects (NNHa) | Evidence for benefit/harm of investigational drug | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary composite cardiovascular endpoint | Secondary cardiovascular endpoints | All-cause mortality | ||||||
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | 3.1 | Yes (61) | Cardiovascular death (45), heart failure hospitalization (72) | Yes (39) | Genital infection (22), volume depletion in patients ≥75 years, ketoacidosis | Relevant benefit, particularly for patients at risk or with HF |
CANVASa Program | Canagliflozin | 2.4 | Yes (72)a | Heart failure hospitalization (104a, exploratory analysis) | No | Amputation (115a), low-trauma fractures, male genitalia infection (14a) | Relevant benefit at the cost of increased risk of amputations | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | 3.8 | Yes (55) | Cardiovascular death (79) | Yes (71) | Injection site reaction with once daily sc injection (233), drug discontinuation due to nausea (79), acute gallstone disease (85) | Relevant benefit |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | 2.1 | Yes (43) | Non-fatal stroke (97) | No | Retinopathy (78), gastrointestinal disorders (66) | Relevant benefit | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | 3.2 | No | No | No [exploratory analysis yes (100)] | Thyroid papillary carcinomas (n = 10 vs. 4) | Non-significant trend for benefit | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | 2.1 | No | No | No | Gastrointestinal disorders leading to drug discontinuation (27) | No benefit | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | 2.9 | No | Composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke (49), increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 62) | No | Oedema wo heart failure (12) | Potential benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | 2.1 | No | Increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 140) | No | Increased (but very rare) occurrence of non-fatal angioedema | No benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | 2.1 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | 3.0 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | 10.7 | Yes (11) | Non-fatal MI (16) | Yes (11) | NR | Potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha- glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | 3.38 | Yes (40) | Non-fatal MI (62) | NR | Premature study drug discontinuation (8) | Hypothesis generation for potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
Study | Class of drug | Drug | Median follow-up (years) | Reduction of (NNT) | Specific adverse effects (NNHa) | Evidence for benefit/harm of investigational drug | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary composite cardiovascular endpoint | Secondary cardiovascular endpoints | All-cause mortality | ||||||
EMPA-REG OUTCOME | SGLT2 inhibitor | Empagliflozin | 3.1 | Yes (61) | Cardiovascular death (45), heart failure hospitalization (72) | Yes (39) | Genital infection (22), volume depletion in patients ≥75 years, ketoacidosis | Relevant benefit, particularly for patients at risk or with HF |
CANVASa Program | Canagliflozin | 2.4 | Yes (72)a | Heart failure hospitalization (104a, exploratory analysis) | No | Amputation (115a), low-trauma fractures, male genitalia infection (14a) | Relevant benefit at the cost of increased risk of amputations | |
LEADER | GLP-1 receptor agonist | Liraglutide | 3.8 | Yes (55) | Cardiovascular death (79) | Yes (71) | Injection site reaction with once daily sc injection (233), drug discontinuation due to nausea (79), acute gallstone disease (85) | Relevant benefit |
SUSTAIN-6 | Semaglutide | 2.1 | Yes (43) | Non-fatal stroke (97) | No | Retinopathy (78), gastrointestinal disorders (66) | Relevant benefit | |
EXSCEL | Exenatide | 3.2 | No | No | No [exploratory analysis yes (100)] | Thyroid papillary carcinomas (n = 10 vs. 4) | Non-significant trend for benefit | |
ELIXA | Lixisenatide | 2.1 | No | No | No | Gastrointestinal disorders leading to drug discontinuation (27) | No benefit | |
PROACTIVE | Thiazolidinedione | Pioglitazone | 2.9 | No | Composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke (49), increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 62) | No | Oedema wo heart failure (12) | Potential benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
SAVOR-TIMI 53 | Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor | Saxagliptin | 2.1 | No | Increase of HF hospitalization (NNH = 140) | No | Increased (but very rare) occurrence of non-fatal angioedema | No benefit, increased risk of HF hospitalization |
EXAMINE | Alogliptin | 2.1 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
TECOS | Sitagliptin | 3.0 | No | No | No | NR | No benefit | |
UKPDS 34 | Biguanide | Metformin | 10.7 | Yes (11) | Non-fatal MI (16) | Yes (11) | NR | Potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
STOP-NIDDM | Alpha- glucosidase inhibitor | Acarbose (compared to sulfonylurea) | 3.38 | Yes (40) | Non-fatal MI (62) | NR | Premature study drug discontinuation (8) | Hypothesis generation for potential cardiovascular benefit in patients wo CVD |
NNT/NNH number needed to treat/harm was calculated only for significant results with the formula 100/absolute difference of endpoint in % for the given follow-up period.
ACS, acute coronary syndrome; NR, not reported.
NNTs/NNHs were calculated based on the given event rates per 1000 patient years and transformed for a follow-up of 3 years.