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100% Clean and Renewable Wind, Water, and Sunlight All-Sector Energy Roadmaps for 139 Countries of the World
Joule ( IF 39.8 ) Pub Date : 2017-08-23 , DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2017.07.005
Mark Z. Jacobson , Mark A. Delucchi , Zack A.F. Bauer , Savannah C. Goodman , William E. Chapman , Mary A. Cameron , Cedric Bozonnat , Liat Chobadi , Hailey A. Clonts , Peter Enevoldsen , Jenny R. Erwin , Simone N. Fobi , Owen K. Goldstrom , Eleanor M. Hennessy , Jingyi Liu , Jonathan Lo , Clayton B. Meyer , Sean B. Morris , Kevin R. Moy , Patrick L. O'Neill , Ivalin Petkov , Stephanie Redfern , Robin Schucker , Michael A. Sontag , Jingfan Wang , Eric Weiner , Alexander S. Yachanin

We develop roadmaps to transform the all-purpose energy infrastructures (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling, industry, agriculture/forestry/fishing) of 139 countries to ones powered by wind, water, and sunlight (WWS). The roadmaps envision 80% conversion by 2030 and 100% by 2050. WWS not only replaces business-as-usual (BAU) power, but also reduces it ∼42.5% because the work: energy ratio of WWS electricity exceeds that of combustion (23.0%), WWS requires no mining, transporting, or processing of fuels (12.6%), and WWS end-use efficiency is assumed to exceed that of BAU (6.9%). Converting may create ∼24.3 million more permanent, full-time jobs than jobs lost. It may avoid ∼4.6 million/year premature air-pollution deaths today and ∼3.5 million/year in 2050; ∼$22.8 trillion/year (12.7 ¢/kWh-BAU-all-energy) in 2050 air-pollution costs; and ∼$28.5 trillion/year (15.8 ¢/kWh-BAU-all-energy) in 2050 climate costs. Transitioning should also stabilize energy prices because fuel costs are zero, reduce power disruption and increase access to energy by decentralizing power, and avoid 1.5°C global warming.



中文翻译:

适用于世界139个国家的100%清洁和可再生风,水和阳光全行业能源路线图

我们制定了路线图,将139个国家的通用能源基础设施(电力,交通,供热/制冷,工业,农业/林业/渔业)转变为以风,水和阳光(WWS)为动力的国家。该路线图设想到2030年将达到80%的转换,到2050年将达到100%的转换。WWS不仅代替了常规使用(BAU)的电力,而且将其减少了约42.5%,因为WWS的功:能量比超过了燃烧(23.0 %),WWS不需要开采,运输或加工燃料(12.6%),并且假定WWS的最终使用效率超过BAU的最终使用效率(6.9%)。转换可能创造的永久性全职工作比失去的工作多出约2430万。如今,它可以避免每年约460万人因空气污染而过早死亡,而到2050年则可以避免每年约350万人因空气污染而死亡;到2050年的空气污染成本为22.8万亿美元/年(12.7¢/ kWh-BAU-全部能量);2050年的气候成本约为28.5万亿美元/年(15.8¢/ kWh-BAU-全部能量)。过渡还应稳定能源价格,因为燃料成本为零,通过分散电力来减少电力中断并增加对能源的获取,并避免1.5°C的全球变暖。

更新日期:2017-08-23
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