当前位置: X-MOL 学术Environ. Sci. Technol. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Elaborating the History of Our Cementing Societies: An in-Use Stock Perspective
Environmental Science & Technology ( IF 11.4 ) Pub Date : 2017-09-12 00:00:00 , DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.7b03077
Zhi Cao 1, 2, 3 , Lei Shen 1, 2 , Amund N. Løvik 4 , Daniel B. Müller 5 , Gang Liu 3
Affiliation  

Modern cities and societies are built fundamentally based on cement and concrete. The global cement production has risen sharply in the past decades due largely to urbanization and construction. Here we deployed a top-down dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) model to quantify the historical development of cement in-use stocks in residential, nonresidential, and civil engineering sectors of all world countries. We found that global cement production spreads unevenly among 184 countries, with China dominating the global production and consumption after the 1990s. Nearly all countries have shown an increasing trend of per capita cement in-use stock in the past century. The present per capita cement in-use stocks vary from 10 to 40 tonnes in major industrialized and transiting countries and are below 10 tonnes in developing countries. Evolutionary modes identified from historical patterns suggest that per capita in-use cement stock growth generally complies with an S-shape curve and relates closely to affluence and urbanization of a country, but more in-depth and bottom-up investigations are needed to better understand socioeconomic drivers behind stock growth. These identified in-use stock patterns can help us better estimate future demand of cement, explore strategies for emissions reduction in the cement industry, and inform CO2 uptake potentials of cement based products and infrastructure in service.
更新日期:2017-09-12
down
wechat
bug